Ligue 2
Feb 28, 2026 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de Paris
  • Saîf-Eddine Khaoui 67' yellowcard
  • Pape Meïssa Ba 67' yellowcard
  • Théo Magnin 77' yellowcard
  • Jovany Ikanga 78' yellowcard
  • Théo Magnin 78' yellowcard
  • Hacène Benali 83' yellowcard
  • 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harold Voyer 57'
  • yellowcard William Harhouz 57'
  • yellowcard William Harhouz 58'
  • yellowcard Martin Rossignol 63'
  • yellowcard Izhak Hammoudi 82'
  • yellowcard Antoine Rabillard 82'
  • yellowcard 82'

Red Star vs Le Mans - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Star

All competitions
Last game
Feb 20, 2026 7.00pm
Annecy 2 - 1 Red Star
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Kévin Cabral

Le Mans

All competitions
Last game
Feb 23, 2026 7.45pm
Le Mans 1 - 1 Guingamp
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Antoine Rabillard

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star win with a probability of 36.59%. A win for Le Mans had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 28.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Le Mans win was 0-1 (10.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result

Red Star 36.59% (+0.25)
Draw 28.21% (-0.09)
Le Mans 35.17% (-0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.11% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.46% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 29.54% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 45.24% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 54.76% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 23.37% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 76.63% (-0.19)
Over 4.5 12.04% (+0.12)
Under 4.5 87.96% (-0.13)

First Half Winner

Red Star 27.54%
Draw 43.37% (+0.03)
Le Mans 29.1% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Red Star 45.82% (-0.14)
No Goal 8.95% (-0.05)
Le Mans 45.23% (+0.17)

Corners

Over 8 49.07% (+0.04)
Equal 8 12.4% (+0.08)
Under 8 38.53% (-0.09)
Over 9 37.27% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.8% (+0.07)
Under 9 50.93% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 26.97% (-0.09)
Under 10.5 73.03% (+0.10)

Red Star Goals

Over 1.5 34.29% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 65.71% (-0.21)
Over 2.5 12.79% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 87.21% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 3.77% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 96.23% (-0.05)

Le Mans Goals

Over 0.5 67.85% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 32.15% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 33.12% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 66.88% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 12.02% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 87.98% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 3.45% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.55% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Red Star 36.59%
Draw 28.21%
Le Mans 35.17%
Red Star
1-0 @ 10.4% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.19% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.26% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 3.22% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 2.86% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.01% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.65% (+0.07)
Total : 36.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.16%
0-0 @ 8.95% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.12% (-0.03)
Total : 28.21%
Le Mans
0-1 @ 10.16% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 8.24% (-0.10)
0-2 @ 5.8% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.06% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.58% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.33% (+0.04)
Total : 35.17%

Head to Head

Ligue 2
Nov 8, 2025 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT