Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star win with a probability of 36.59%. A win for Le Mans had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 28.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Star win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Le Mans win was 0-1 (10.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.