Ligue 2 Gameweek 24
Feb 23, 2026 7.45pm
Stade de La Pincenardière

Le Mans vs Guingamp - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Mans

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 1.00pm
Montpellier 4 - 2 Le Mans
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Erwan Colas

Guingamp

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 7.00pm
Guingamp 1 - 2 St Etienne
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Louis Mafouta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Le Mans win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Guingamp has a probability of 32.08% and a draw has a probability of 28.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Mans win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Guingamp win is 0-1 (9.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.42%).

Result

Le Mans 39.26% (-0.04)
Draw 28.62%
Guingamp 32.08%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.46%

Goals

Over 1.5 68.97% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 31.03% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 42.75% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 57.25% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 22.12%
Under 3.5 77.88%
Over 4.5 11.07%
Under 4.5 88.93%

First Half Winner

Le Mans 27.03%
Draw 47.52%
Guingamp 25.46%

Team To Score First

Le Mans 46.6% (-0.01)
No Goal 9.67% (+0.01)
Guingamp 43.73%

Corners

Over 8 49.86%
Equal 8 12.44%
Under 8 37.7%
Over 9 37.95%
Equal 9 11.91%
Under 9 50.14%
Over 10.5 27.51%
Under 10.5 72.49%

Le Mans Goals

Over 1.5 35.2% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 64.8% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 13.27% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 86.73% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 4.09% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.91% (+0.01)

Guingamp Goals

Over 0.5 64.92% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 35.08% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 29.55% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 70.45% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 9.76%
Under 2.5 90.24%
Over 3.5 2.67% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.33% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Le Mans 39.26%
Draw 28.62%
Guingamp 32.08%
Le Mans
1-0 @ 11.35%
2-1 @ 8.4% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.02% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.58%
3-0 @ 2.98% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.91%
Other @ 4.02% (-0.02)
Total : 39.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.42% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.67% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.75%
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 28.62%
Guingamp
0-1 @ 9.97% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.35% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.78%
1-3 @ 2.71%
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.6% (+0.02)
Total : 32.08%

Head to Head

Ligue 2
Aug 9, 2025 1.00pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 13, 2024 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de La Pincenardiere
  • 82' goal
Ligue 2 Gameweek 27
Feb 28, 2020 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT MMArena
  • Aboubakary Kante 9' goal
  • Yann Boe-Kane 37' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Choplin 50' yellowcard
  • Aboubakary Kante 69' goal
  • goal Ronny Rodelin 76'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 9
Sep 30, 2019 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade du Roudourou (Guingamp)
  • Pierrick Valdivia 10' yellowcard
  • Bryan Pele 42' yellowcard
  • Frantzdy Pierrot 45' goal
  • Frantzdy Pierrot 64' goal
  • Yeni Ngbakoto 80' goal
  • yellowcard Alois Confais 25'
  • yellowcard Guessouma Fofana 56'