Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Mans win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Guingamp had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Mans win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Guingamp win was 0-1 (10.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.