Ligue 2 Gameweek 24
Feb 23, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de La Pincenardière
  • Dame Gueye 29' goal
  • Lucas Bretelle 46' yellowcard
  • Erwan Colas 59' yellowcard
  • 59' yellowcard
  • William Harhouz 59' yellowcard
  • William Harhouz 60' yellowcard
  • Martin Rossignol 71' yellowcard
  • Martin Rossignol 72' yellowcard
  • goal Kalidou Sidibé 52'
  • yellowcard Jérémy Hatchi 59'
  • yellowcard 59'
  • yellowcard Stanislas Kielt 66'
  • yellowcard Albin Demouchy 90'+5'

Le Mans vs Guingamp - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Mans

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 1.00pm
Montpellier 4 - 2 Le Mans
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Erwan Colas

Guingamp

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 7.00pm
Guingamp 1 - 2 St Etienne
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Louis Mafouta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Mans win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Guingamp had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Mans win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Guingamp win was 0-1 (10.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result

Le Mans 39.01% (-0.04)
Draw 28.7% (+0.03)
Guingamp 32.26%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.35%

Goals

Over 1.5 68.9% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 31.1% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 42.55%
Under 2.5 57.45%
Over 3.5 21.87% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 78.13% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 10.97% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 89.03% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Le Mans 27.02%
Draw 47.52%
Guingamp 25.46%

Team To Score First

Le Mans 46.58%
No Goal 9.71% (+0.02)
Guingamp 43.71% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 49.86%
Equal 8 12.47%
Under 8 37.67%
Over 9 37.92%
Equal 9 11.94%
Under 9 50.14%
Over 10.5 27.46%
Under 10.5 72.54%

Le Mans Goals

Over 1.5 34.96% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 65.04% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 13.05% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 86.95% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.01% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.99% (+0.01)

Guingamp Goals

Over 0.5 65.08%
Under 0.5 34.92%
Over 1.5 29.55% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 70.45% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 9.79% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 90.21% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 2.66% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.34% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Le Mans 39.02%
Draw 28.69%
Guingamp 32.26%
Le Mans
1-0 @ 11.27% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.44% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.01% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.95%
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.95% (-0.03)
Total : 39.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.52%
0-0 @ 9.71% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.71%
Other @ 0.06% (+0.01)
Total : 28.69%
Guingamp
0-1 @ 10.09% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.31% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.82% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.72%
0-3 @ 1.97% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 32.26%

Head to Head

Ligue 2
Aug 9, 2025 1.00pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 13, 2024 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de La Pincenardiere
  • 82' goal
Ligue 2 Gameweek 27
Feb 28, 2020 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT MMArena
  • Aboubakary Kante 9' goal
  • Yann Boe-Kane 37' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Choplin 50' yellowcard
  • Aboubakary Kante 69' goal
  • goal Ronny Rodelin 76'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 9
Sep 30, 2019 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade du Roudourou (Guingamp)
  • Pierrick Valdivia 10' yellowcard
  • Bryan Pele 42' yellowcard
  • Frantzdy Pierrot 45' goal
  • Frantzdy Pierrot 64' goal
  • Yeni Ngbakoto 80' goal
  • yellowcard Alois Confais 25'
  • yellowcard Guessouma Fofana 56'