Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star win with a probability of 35.61%. A win for Nancy had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 30.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Star win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Nancy win was 0-1 (11.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.