Ligue 2 Gameweek 26
Mar 7, 2026 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
  • Aïmen Moueffek 55' yellowcard
  • Kevin Pedro 65' goal
  • Lucas Stassin 80' goal
  • Joshua Duffus 87' yellowcard
  • Dennis Appiah 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Giovanni Haag 53'
  • yellowcard Kévin Cabral 72'
  • yellowcard Abdelsamad Hachem 72'
  • yellowcard Théo Magnin 83'
  • yellowcard Hacène Benali 83'

Saint-Etienne vs Red Star - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint-Etienne

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 7.00pm
Pau 0 - 3 St Etienne
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Zuriko Davitashvili

Red Star

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 1.00pm
Red Star 0 - 0 Le Mans
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Kévin Cabral

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Red Star had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Red Star win was 1-2 (7.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result

Saint-Etienne 46.4% (+0.04)
Draw 24.41%
Red Star 29.22% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.88% (-0.17)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.56% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 20.44% (+0.12)
Over 2.5 57.13% (-0.19)
Under 2.5 42.84% (+0.17)
Over 3.5 34.55% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 65.42% (+0.19)
Over 4.5 20.39% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 79.61% (+0.13)

First Half Winner

Saint-Etienne 36.64%
Draw 40.44%
Red Star 22.92%

Team To Score First

Saint-Etienne 55.91% (-0.02)
No Goal 5.35% (+0.03)
Red Star 38.74% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 47.72% (-0.04)
Equal 8 12.16% (+0.06)
Under 8 40.12% (-0.03)
Over 9 36.26% (-0.09)
Equal 9 11.45% (+0.04)
Under 9 52.28% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 26.34% (-0.13)
Under 10.5 73.66% (+0.12)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 1.5 48.12% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 51.88% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 22.76% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 77.24% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 8.84% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 91.16% (+0.04)

Red Star Goals

Over 0.5 66.34% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 33.66% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 34.02% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 65.98% (+0.16)
Over 2.5 13.26% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 86.74% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 4.34% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 95.66% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Saint-Etienne 46.41%
Draw 24.42%
Red Star 29.22%
Saint-Etienne
2-1 @ 9.61% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.72% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.08% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.08% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.96% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.03)
Other @ 8.6% (-0.05)
Total : 46.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.21% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.1% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 5.35% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.42%
Red Star
1-2 @ 7.18% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.42% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.12% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 4.1% (-0.04)
Total : 29.22%

Head to Head

Ligue 2
Nov 1, 2025 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Coupe de France
Feb 10, 2015 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Julien Ielsch 25' redcard
  • Hameur Bouazza 28' goal
  • goal Ricky van Wolfswinkel 18'
  • goal Pierrick Cros 80' (OG)