Ligue 2 Gameweek 26
Mar 7, 2026 7.00pm
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

Saint-Etienne vs Red Star - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint-Etienne

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 7.00pm
Pau 0 - 3 St Etienne
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Zuriko Davitashvili

Red Star

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 1.00pm
Red Star 0 - 0 Le Mans
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Kévin Cabral

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Red Star has a probability of 29.87% and a draw has a probability of 24.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Red Star win is 1-2 (7.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.23%).

Result

Saint-Etienne 45.55%
Draw 24.58%
Red Star 29.87%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.97%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.63%
Under 1.5 20.37%
Over 2.5 57.35%
Under 2.5 42.65%
Over 3.5 34.66%
Under 3.5 65.34%
Over 4.5 20.37%
Under 4.5 79.63%

First Half Winner

Saint-Etienne 35.59%
Draw 40.98%
Red Star 23.43%

Team To Score First

Saint-Etienne 55.29%
No Goal 5.34%
Red Star 39.37%

Corners

Over 8 48.64%
Equal 8 12.22%
Under 8 39.14%
Over 9 37.04%
Equal 9 11.6%
Under 9 51.36%
Over 10.5 26.94%
Under 10.5 73.06%

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 1.5 47.64%
Under 1.5 52.36%
Over 2.5 22.4%
Under 2.5 77.6%
Over 3.5 8.63%
Under 3.5 91.37%

Red Star Goals

Over 0.5 66.99%
Under 0.5 33.01%
Over 1.5 34.74%
Under 1.5 65.26%
Over 2.5 13.72%
Under 2.5 86.28%
Over 3.5 4.48%
Under 3.5 95.52%

Score analysis

Saint-Etienne 45.56%
Draw 24.58%
Red Star 29.86%
Saint-Etienne
2-1 @ 9.55%
1-0 @ 8.57%
2-0 @ 6.87%
3-1 @ 5.01%
3-0 @ 3.87%
3-2 @ 3.33%
Other @ 8.36%
Total : 45.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.23%
2-2 @ 6.18%
0-0 @ 5.34%
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 24.58%
Red Star
1-2 @ 7.33%
0-1 @ 6.46%
0-2 @ 4.18%
1-3 @ 3.1%
2-3 @ 2.64%
0-3 @ 1.94%
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 29.86%

Head to Head

Ligue 2
Nov 1, 2025 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Coupe de France
Feb 10, 2015 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Julien Ielsch 25' redcard
  • Hameur Bouazza 28' goal
  • goal Ricky van Wolfswinkel 18'
  • goal Pierrick Cros 80' (OG)