Ligue 2 Gameweek 25
Feb 28, 2026 7.00pm
Stade Du Hameau Idron 1

Pau vs Saint-Etienne - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pau

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 1.00pm
Troyes 4 - 3 Pau
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Giovani Versini

Saint-Etienne

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 7.00pm
St Etienne 2 - 1 Laval
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Zuriko Davitashvili

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Pau win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Saint-Etienne has a probability of 33.92% and a draw has a probability of 25.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pau win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win is 1-2 (8.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.34%).

Result

Pau 41.01% (+0.04)
Draw 25.07%
Saint-Etienne 33.92%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.13% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.68% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 21.32% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 56.25% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 43.75% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 33.75% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 66.25% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 19.26% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 80.74% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Pau 32.49%
Draw 41.16%
Saint-Etienne 26.35%

Team To Score First

Pau 53.24%
No Goal 5.64%
Saint-Etienne 41.12%

Corners

Over 8 57.88% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.52%
Under 8 30.6% (+0.02)
Over 9 46.14% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.74%
Under 9 42.12% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 35.18% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 64.82% (+0.01)

Pau Goals

Over 1.5 43.04% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 56.96% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 18.81% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 81.19% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 6.7% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 93.3% (-0.05)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5 69.63% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 30.37% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 38.19% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 61.81% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 15.65% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 84.35% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 5.42% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 94.58% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Pau 41.01%
Draw 25.06%
Saint-Etienne 33.9%
Pau
2-1 @ 8.89%
1-0 @ 8.81% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.21% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.37%
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.05%
Other @ 6.51% (+0.03)
Total : 41.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.34% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.64%
3-3 @ 1.52% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.19% (+0.02)
Total : 25.06%
Saint-Etienne
1-2 @ 8.21% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.84%
0-2 @ 4.91% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.73%
2-3 @ 2.76% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.22% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.23% (+0.04)
Total : 33.9%

Head to Head

Ligue 2
Oct 28, 2025 7.30pm
6
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 2 Gameweek 21
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Du Hameau Idron 1
  • Xavier Kouassi 36' yellowcard
  • Sessi D'Almeida 85' yellowcard
  • Bingourou Kamara 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Dylan Chambost 38'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 15
Nov 25, 2023 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
  • Gaetan Charbonnier 9' goal
  • Benjamin Bouchouari 54' yellowcard
  • Florian Tardieu 90' yellowcard
  • Anthony Briancon 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ousmane Kante 14'
  • yellowcard Moussa Sylla 62'
  • goal Henri Saivet 75'
  • goal Sessi D'Almeida 78'
  • yellowcard Sessi D'Almeida 90'+1'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 25
Feb 25, 2023 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ibrahima Wadji 29' goal
  • Jean-Philippe Krasso 77' goal
Ligue 2 Gameweek 7
Sep 5, 2022 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Henri Saivet 68' goal
  • Henri Saivet 79' goal
  • goal Louis Mouton 34'
  • goal Lenny Pintor 85'