Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star win with a probability of 37.61%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Star win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-0 (9.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.