Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 53.01%. A draw had a probability of 25.18% and a win for Amiens had a probability of 21.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (10.13%) and 0-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%) , while for a Amiens win it was 1-0 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.