Ligue 2 Gameweek 29
Apr 4, 2026 1.00pm
Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier HSC vs Troyes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last game
Mar 20, 2026 7.00pm
Pau 0 - 0 Montpellier
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Alexandre Mendy

Troyes

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 1.00pm
Troyes 5 - 1 Dunkerque
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Renaud Ripart

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Troyes win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Montpellier HSC has a probability of 33.83% and a draw has a probability of 27.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win is 1-0 (8.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.68%).

Result

Montpellier HSC 33.83% (-0.04)
Draw 27.18% (+0.04)
Troyes 38.99% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.83% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.03% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 26.97% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 48.09% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 51.91% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 26.46% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 73.54% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 14.33% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 85.67% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Montpellier HSC 25.6%
Draw 44.33%
Troyes 30.07%

Team To Score First

Montpellier HSC 42.74% (-0.01)
No Goal 7.89% (+0.03)
Troyes 49.37% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 49.61%
Equal 8 12.47%
Under 8 37.92%
Over 9 37.69%
Equal 9 11.92%
Under 9 50.39%
Over 10.5 27.26%
Under 10.5 72.74%

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 1.5 33.84% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 66.16% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 12.84% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 87.16% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 4.1% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.9% (+0.02)

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5 71.32% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 28.68% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 37.62%
Under 1.5 62.38%
Over 2.5 14.87% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 85.13% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 4.84% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.16% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Montpellier HSC 33.83%
Draw 27.18%
Troyes 38.99%
Montpellier HSC
1-0 @ 8.95% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.73% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.54% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.16% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.37% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.93% (-0.03)
Total : 33.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.68% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.89% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.38%
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.17% (+0.02)
Total : 27.18%
Troyes
0-1 @ 10.13% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 8.5%
0-2 @ 6.72% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.6%
0-3 @ 3.02%
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.67%
Total : 38.99%

Head to Head

Ligue 2
Aug 23, 2025 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 24
Feb 19, 2023 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Wahbi Khazri 90'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 1
Aug 7, 2022 2.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Stade de la Mosson
  • Theo Sainte-Luce 3' goal
  • Teji Savanier 15' goal
  • Beni Makouana 52' yellowcard
  • Teji Savanier 81' goal
  • goal Florian Tardieu 12'
  • goal Mama Balde 17'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 20
Jan 19, 2022 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Florent Mollet 39' yellowcard
  • Arnaud Souquet 58' yellowcard
  • Teji Savanier 63' redcard
  • Joris Chotard 66' yellowcard
  • Stephy Mavididi 68' yellowcard
  • Jordan Ferri 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Giulian Biancone 21'
  • goal Xavier Chavalerin 74'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 6
Sep 19, 2021 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Yoann Touzghar 37' goal
  • Tristan Dingome 44' yellowcard
  • Tanguy Banhie-Zoukrou 71' yellowcard
  • Xavier Chavalerin 81' yellowcard
  • Gerson Rodrigues 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matheus Thuler 23'
  • yellowcard Jordan Ferri 49'
  • yellowcard Teji Savanier 51'
  • redcard Matheus Thuler 79'
  • goal Teji Savanier 87'
Ligue 1
May 12, 2018 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade de la Mosson (Montpellier)
  • Nicolas Cozza 58' goal
  • goal Karim Azamoum 31'