Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 46.02%. A draw had a probability of 27.21% and a win for Laval had a probability of 26.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%) , while for a Laval win it was 0-1 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.