Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nancy win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nancy win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (8.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.