Ligue 2 Gameweek 26
Mar 6, 2026 7.00pm
Stade Marcel-Picot

Nancy vs Montpellier HSC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nancy

All competitions
Last game
Feb 27, 2026 7.00pm
Laval 1 - 1 Nancy
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Jeremy Gelin

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last game
Feb 27, 2026 7.00pm
Montpellier 0 - 0 Reims
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Alexandre Mendy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nancy win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Montpellier HSC has a probability of 31.92% and a draw has a probability of 26.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nancy win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win is 0-1 (8.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.96%).

Result

Nancy 41.25% (+0.41)
Draw 26.83% (-0.02)
Montpellier HSC 31.92% (-0.37)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.89% (-0.34)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.48% (-0.23)
Under 1.5 27.52% (+0.24)
Over 2.5 48.86% (-0.47)
Under 2.5 51.14% (+0.47)
Over 3.5 28.09% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 71.91% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 15.9% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 84.1% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Nancy 30.82% (-0.34)
Draw 46.22% (-0.51)
Montpellier HSC 22.96% (+0.86)

Team To Score First

Nancy 50.11% (-0.49)
No Goal 8.19% (+0.11)
Montpellier HSC 41.7% (+0.38)

Corners

Over 8 56.34% (+1.70)
Equal 8 11.84% (-0.16)
Under 8 31.82% (-1.54)
Over 9 44.39% (+1.67)
Equal 9 11.94% (+0.02)
Under 9 43.66% (-1.70)
Over 10.5 33.37% (+1.50)
Under 10.5 66.63% (-1.50)

Nancy Goals

Over 1.5 39.62% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 60.38% (-0.22)
Over 2.5 16.67% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 83.33% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 5.96% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.04% (-0.02)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5 65.54% (-0.45)
Under 0.5 34.46% (+0.46)
Over 1.5 32.44% (-0.47)
Under 1.5 67.56% (+0.47)
Over 2.5 12.55% (-0.31)
Under 2.5 87.45% (+0.32)
Over 3.5 4.08% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 95.92% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Nancy 41.25%
Draw 26.83%
Montpellier HSC 31.93%
Nancy
1-0 @ 10.62% (+0.12)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.84% (+0.15)
3-1 @ 3.92% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.05% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.55% (+0.05)
Other @ 5.77% (+0.06)
Total : 41.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.96% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.19% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 5.3%
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.19% (-0.05)
Total : 26.83%
Montpellier HSC
0-1 @ 8.72% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.23% (-0.30)
0-2 @ 4.81% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 2.97% (-0.15)
2-3 @ 2.31% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.89% (-0.05)
Total : 31.93%

Head to Head

Ligue 2
Oct 25, 2025 1.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Coupe de la Ligue Gameweek 16
Oct 30, 2019 8.05pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Florent Mollet 13' goal
  • Andy Delort 21' goal
  • Daniel Congre 28' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Cozza 62' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Cozza 68' redcard
  • Joris Chotard 76' goal
  • Salomon Sambia 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gregoire Lefebvre 42'
  • goal Vagner 59'
  • yellowcard Herve Lybohy 66'
  • goal Herve Lybohy 89'
Ligue 1
Feb 11, 2017 7.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Anthony Robic 30' yellowcard
  • Tobias Badila 40' yellowcard
  • Youssef Ait Bennasser 75' yellowcard
  • goal Isaac Mbenza 10'
  • goal Steve Mounie 19'
  • yellowcard Nordi Mulere Mukiele 56'
  • goal Isaac Mbenza 60'
  • yellowcard Lukas Pokorny 70'
Ligue 1
Nov 26, 2016 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Paul Lasne 70' yellowcard
  • Stephane Sessegnon 80' yellowcard
  • Stephane Sessegnon 82' redcard
  • yellowcard Modou Diagne 40'
  • yellowcard Alou Diarra 91'
  • yellowcard Issiar Dia 93'
Ligue 1
Feb 16, 2013 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Emanuel Herrera 34' goal
  • Younés Belhanda 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Benjamin Moukandjo 17'
  • yellowcard Salif Sane 46'
  • yellowcard Jeff Louis 78'
  • yellowcard Thomas Mangani 90'
Ligue 1
Sep 29, 2012 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Benjamin Moukandjo 35' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hilton 37'
  • goal Younés Belhanda 66'
  • yellowcard Garry Bocaly 72'
  • goal Souleymane Camara 90'