Ligue 2
Mar 20, 2026 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Du Hameau Idron 1
  • Omar Sadik 22' yellowcard
  • Julien Anziani 66' yellowcard
  • Antonin Bobichon 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Everson Jr 46'
  • yellowcard Lucas Mincarelli 66'
  • yellowcard Enzo Molebe 75'
  • yellowcard Axel Guéguin 89'

Pau vs Montpellier HSC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pau

All competitions
Last game
Mar 13, 2026 7.00pm
Clermont 0 - 1 Pau
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Giovani Versini

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last game
Mar 13, 2026 7.00pm
Montpellier 2 - 0 Laval
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Alexandre Mendy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for Pau had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Pau win was 2-1 (7.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result

Pau 32.92%
Draw 25.27%
Montpellier HSC 41.77% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.64% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.78% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 22.22% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 55.25% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 44.75% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 33% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 67% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 19.41% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 80.59% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Pau 29.69%
Draw 42.42%
Montpellier HSC 27.88%

Team To Score First

Pau 45.96%
No Goal 6.15% (+0.02)
Montpellier HSC 47.89% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 58.72%
Equal 8 11.52%
Under 8 29.76%
Over 9 46.89%
Equal 9 11.83%
Under 9 41.28%
Over 10.5 35.76%
Under 10.5 64.24%

Pau Goals

Over 1.5 36.23% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 63.77% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 14.62% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 85.38% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.93% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 95.07% (+0.02)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5 74.52% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 25.48% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 43.47%
Under 1.5 56.53%
Over 2.5 19.79%
Under 2.5 80.21%
Over 3.5 7.6%
Under 3.5 92.4%

Score analysis

Pau 32.92%
Draw 25.27%
Montpellier HSC 41.78%
Pau
2-1 @ 7.72%
1-0 @ 7.44% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.88% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.31%
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.3% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.68% (-0.03)
Total : 32.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.42% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.15% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.96% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 25.27%
Montpellier HSC
1-2 @ 8.91% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 8.6% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.22% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.33%
0-3 @ 3.32% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.05%
Other @ 7.35%
Total : 41.78%

Head to Head

Ligue 2
Dec 6, 2025 1.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Khalil Fayad 39' yellowcard
  • Theo Chennahi 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Rayan Touzghar 17'
  • yellowcard Rayan Touzghar 23'
  • yellowcard Cheikh Fall 33'
  • yellowcard Cheikh Fall 34'
  • yellowcard Omar Sadik 41'
  • yellowcard Setigui Karamoko 85'
  • yellowcard Neil Glossoa 90'