Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 49.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Grenoble had a probability of 24.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%) , while for a Grenoble win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.