Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 47.39%. A win for Amiens had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.91%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Amiens win was 1-0 (7.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.