Ligue 2 Gameweek 29
Apr 6, 2026 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de La Pincenardière
  • Dame Gueye 26' goal
  • Dame Gueye 40' yellowcard
  • Adil Ali Mohamed Bourabaa 61' yellowcard
  • Antoine Rabillard 61' yellowcard
  • Harold Voyer 69' yellowcard
  • Alexandre Lauray 69' yellowcard
  • Lucas Bretelle 78' goal
  • Anthony Ribelin 79' yellowcard
  • Antoine Rabillard 83' goal
  • yellowcard Neil Glossoa 46'
  • yellowcard Omar Sadik 66'
  • yellowcard Cheikh Fall 76'
  • yellowcard Antonin Bobichon 76'
  • yellowcard Kyllian Gasnier 82'

Le Mans vs Pau - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Mans

All competitions
Last game
Mar 20, 2026 7.00pm
Amiens 3 - 4 Le Mans
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Antoine Rabillard

Pau

All competitions
Last game
Mar 20, 2026 7.00pm
Pau 0 - 0 Montpellier
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Giovani Versini

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Mans win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Pau had a probability of 27.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Mans win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Pau win was 0-1 (9.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%).

Result

Le Mans 44.82% (+0.04)
Draw 27.54%
Pau 27.68%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.2%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.05% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 30.95% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 42.96% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 57.04% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 21.83%
Under 3.5 78.17%
Over 4.5 11.2% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 88.8% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Le Mans 35.25%
Draw 43.29%
Pau 21.46%

Team To Score First

Le Mans 56.25% (-0.03)
No Goal 9.18% (+0.03)
Pau 34.57% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 52.85%
Equal 8 11.86%
Under 8 35.29%
Over 9 41.22%
Equal 9 11.62%
Under 9 47.15%
Over 10.5 30.76%
Under 10.5 69.24%

Le Mans Goals

Over 1.5 38.81% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 61.19% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 15.51% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 84.49% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 4.97%
Under 3.5 95.03%

Pau Goals

Over 0.5 61.11% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 38.89% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 25.92% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 74.08% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 8.01% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 91.99% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.05% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.95% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Le Mans 44.82%
Draw 27.53%
Pau 27.67%
Le Mans
1-0 @ 12.7% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.26% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.91%
3-0 @ 3.85%
3-2 @ 2.1%
Other @ 4.92% (+0.01)
Total : 44.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.11%
0-0 @ 9.18% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.05% (-0.01)
Total : 27.53%
Pau
0-1 @ 9.09% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.56% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.74% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.19%
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2%
Total : 27.67%

Head to Head

Ligue 2
Nov 21, 2025 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT