Ligue 2 Gameweek 29
Apr 6, 2026 7.45pm
Stade de La Pincenardière

Le Mans vs Pau - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Mans

All competitions
Last game
Mar 20, 2026 7.00pm
Amiens 3 - 4 Le Mans
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Antoine Rabillard

Pau

All competitions
Last game
Mar 20, 2026 7.00pm
Pau 0 - 0 Montpellier
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Giovani Versini

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Le Mans win with a probability of 44.78%. A win for Pau has a probability of 27.68% and a draw has a probability of 27.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Mans win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Pau win is 0-1 (9.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.11%).

Result

Le Mans 44.78% (-0.04)
Draw 27.54%
Pau 27.68% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.2%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.07% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 30.93% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 43% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 57% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 21.83% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 78.17% (+0.21)
Over 4.5 11.21% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 88.79% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Le Mans 35.25%
Draw 43.29%
Pau 21.46%

Team To Score First

Le Mans 56.27%
No Goal 9.15%
Pau 34.58%

Corners

Over 8 52.85% (-0.50)
Equal 8 11.86% (-0.01)
Under 8 35.29% (+0.51)
Over 9 41.22% (-0.47)
Equal 9 11.62% (-0.07)
Under 9 47.15% (+0.50)
Over 10.5 30.76% (-0.37)
Under 10.5 69.24% (+0.37)

Le Mans Goals

Over 1.5 38.82% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 61.18% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 15.52% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 84.48% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 4.97% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 95.03% (+0.07)

Pau Goals

Over 0.5 61.15% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 38.85% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 25.96% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 74.04% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 8.04% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 91.96% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.06%
Under 3.5 97.94%

Score analysis

Le Mans 44.79%
Draw 27.53%
Pau 27.67%
Le Mans
1-0 @ 12.69% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.09% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 8.24%
3-1 @ 3.91% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.85% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.91% (-0.06)
Total : 44.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.11% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 9.15%
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 27.53%
Pau
0-1 @ 9.08% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 6.57% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.73% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.19% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.65% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.02)
Other @ 2%
Total : 27.67%

Head to Head

Ligue 2
Nov 21, 2025 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT