Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Mans win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Pau had a probability of 27.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Mans win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Pau win was 0-1 (9.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%).