Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 49.48%. A draw had a probability of 26.22% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 24.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%) , while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.