Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Mans win with a probability of 54.89%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 19.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Mans win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%) , while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood.