Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nancy win with a probability of 35.34%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 29.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nancy win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-0 (11.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.