Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 43.16%. A win for Nancy had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Nancy win was 1-0 (8.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.