Ligue 2 Gameweek 30
Apr 11, 2026 1.00pm
Stade de la Libération

Boulogne vs Le Mans - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Boulogne

All competitions
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 1.00pm
Reims 0 - 0 Boulogne
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Amine El Farissi

Le Mans

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 7.45pm
Le Mans 4 - 0 Pau
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Antoine Rabillard

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Le Mans win with a probability of 49.48%. A draw has a probability of 25.97% and a win for Boulogne has a probability of 24.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Mans win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.95%) , while for a Boulogne win it is 1-0 (7.07%).

Result

Boulogne 24.55% (+0.08)
Draw 25.97% (-0.04)
Le Mans 49.48% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.13% (+0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.68% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 25.32% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 50.6% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 49.4% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 28.39% (+0.22)
Under 3.5 71.61% (-0.19)
Over 4.5 15.96% (+0.16)
Under 4.5 84.04% (-0.15)

First Half Winner

Boulogne 21.9%
Draw 41.84%
Le Mans 36.26%

Team To Score First

Boulogne 36.35% (+0.03)
No Goal 7.44% (-0.06)
Le Mans 56.21% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 46.14%
Equal 8 12.06%
Under 8 41.8%
Over 9 34.92%
Equal 9 11.22%
Under 9 53.86% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 25.32%
Under 10.5 74.68%

Boulogne Goals

Over 1.5 26.54% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 73.46% (-0.20)
Over 2.5 8.89% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 91.11% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 2.36% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 97.64% (-0.05)

Le Mans Goals

Over 0.5 78.14% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 21.86% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 46.89% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 53.11% (-0.12)
Over 2.5 21.81% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 78.19% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 8.6% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 91.4% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Boulogne 24.55%
Draw 25.98%
Le Mans 49.48%
Boulogne
1-0 @ 7.07% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 6.26% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 3.66%
3-1 @ 2.22% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.64% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.56% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.14% (+0.04)
Total : 24.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 7.44% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.26% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.11% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.22% (+0.02)
Total : 25.98%
Le Mans
0-1 @ 10.82% (-0.08)
1-2 @ 9.71%
0-2 @ 8.47% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 4.95% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.68% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.47% (+0.02)
Other @ 8.38% (+0.07)
Total : 49.48%

Head to Head

Ligue 2
Oct 24, 2025 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT