Ligue 2
Apr 24, 2026 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Gabriel Montpied
  • Saïdou Sow 28' goal
  • Ousmane Diop 83' yellowcard
  • Maïdine Douane 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jérémy Sebas 58'
  • yellowcard Ruben Beliandjou 58'
  • yellowcard Jérémy Sebas 59'
  • yellowcard 59'
  • yellowcard Ruben Beliandjou 59'
  • yellowcard Mehdi Merghem 69'
  • yellowcard Jocelyn Janneh 85'
  • yellowcard Noah Zilliox 85'
  • goal Alexandre Zaouai 90'+1'

Clermont vs Bastia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Clermont

All competitions
Last game
Apr 17, 2026 7.00pm
Le Mans 1 - 0 Clermont
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Famara Diedhiou

Bastia

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 7.00pm
Bastia 2 - 0 St Etienne
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Felix Tomi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 29.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (10.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result

Clermont 40.3%
Draw 29.66% (+0.04)
Bastia 30.03%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.08% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.63% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 35.37% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 37.95% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 62.05% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 18.26%
Under 3.5 81.74%
Over 4.5 8.84%
Under 4.5 91.16%

First Half Winner

Clermont 27.85%
Draw 47.22%
Bastia 24.93%

Team To Score First

Clermont 47.11% (-0.01)
No Goal 11.55% (+0.02)
Bastia 41.34%

Corners

Over 8 47.73%
Equal 8 12.68%
Under 8 39.59%
Over 9 35.79%
Equal 9 11.94%
Under 9 52.27%
Over 10.5 25.52%
Under 10.5 74.48%

Clermont Goals

Over 1.5 33.13% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 66.87% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 11.85% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 88.15% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.36%
Under 3.5 96.64%

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5 60.96% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 39.04% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 25.71% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 74.29% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 7.77%
Under 2.5 92.23%
Over 3.5 1.87%
Under 3.5 98.13%

Score analysis

Clermont 40.32%
Draw 29.67%
Bastia 30.04%
Clermont
1-0 @ 13.19% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.94%
2-0 @ 7.9% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.16%
3-0 @ 3.08% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.7%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 40.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.49% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 11.55% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.07% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 29.67%
Bastia
0-1 @ 10.66% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.92% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.25% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.22%
0-3 @ 1.76%
2-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 30.04%

Head to Head

Ligue 2
Oct 31, 2025 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 2 Gameweek 23
Feb 14, 2025 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Gabriel Montpied
  • Baila Diallo 25' yellowcard
  • Yoan Kore 40' yellowcard
  • Cheick Oumar Konate 62' yellowcard
  • Maidine Douane 70' goal
  • Johan Gastien 84' yellowcard
  • goal Tom Ducrocq 22'
  • yellowcard Jocelyn Janneh 43'
  • redcard Jocelyn Janneh 45'+5'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 9
Oct 18, 2024 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Armand-Cesari
  • Gustave Akueson 65' yellowcard
  • Zakaria Ariss 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Allan Ackra 51'
  • yellowcard Habib Keita 86'
  • redcard Habib Keita 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Johan Gastien 90'+4'