Ligue 2
Apr 18, 2026 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Armand-Césari
  • Alexandre Zaouai 1' goal
  • Zakaria Ariss 59' yellowcard
  • Jérémy Sebas 60' yellowcard
  • 60' yellowcard
  • Joachim Eickmayer 68' yellowcard
  • Joachim Eickmayer 69' yellowcard
  • Amine Boutrah 69' yellowcard
  • Joachim Eickmayer 71' goal
  • Noah Zilliox 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joshua Duffus 53'
  • yellowcard Igor Miladinovic 60'
  • yellowcard 60'
  • yellowcard Igor Miladinovic 65'

Bastia vs Saint-Etienne - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bastia

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 1.00pm
Red Star 4 - 3 Bastia
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Felix Tomi

Saint-Etienne

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 7.00pm
St Etienne 2 - 1 Dunkerque
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Lucas Stassin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 28.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Bastia win was 1-0 (10.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result

Bastia 32.21%
Draw 28.61% (+0.04)
Saint-Etienne 39.21% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.41% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.05% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 32.95% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 40.68% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 59.32% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 19.99% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 80.01% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 9.82% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 90.18% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Bastia 25.12%
Draw 43.88%
Saint-Etienne 31%

Team To Score First

Bastia 41.26% (-0.03)
No Goal 10.38% (+0.05)
Saint-Etienne 48.36% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 45.52%
Equal 8 12.64%
Under 8 41.84%
Over 9 33.84%
Equal 9 11.68%
Under 9 54.48%
Over 10.5 23.94%
Under 10.5 76.06%

Bastia Goals

Over 1.5 28.17% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 71.83% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 9.05% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 90.95% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.33% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.67% (+0.02)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5 68.59% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 31.41% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 33.94% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 66.06% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 12.48% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 87.52% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.53% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.47% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Bastia 32.21%
Draw 28.62%
Saint-Etienne 39.22%
Bastia
1-0 @ 10.88% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.14% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.82% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.52%
3-0 @ 2.07% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.47% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.31% (-0.01)
Total : 32.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.25%
0-0 @ 10.38% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 28.62%
Saint-Etienne
0-1 @ 11.74% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 8.39% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.29% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.35% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.09%
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.51% (-0.02)
Total : 39.22%

Head to Head

Ligue 2
Dec 13, 2025 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Zuriko Davitashvili 24' goal
  • Kévin Pedro 53' yellowcard
  • 53' yellowcard
  • Zuriko Davitashvili 81' goal
  • Augustine Boakye 83' yellowcard
  • goal Jeremy Sebas 19'
  • yellowcard Felix Tomi 32'
  • goal Felix Tomi 34'
  • yellowcard Tom Ducrocq 49'
  • yellowcard 56'
  • yellowcard Noah Zilliox 56'
  • yellowcard Zakaria Ariss 76'
  • yellowcard Florian Bohnert 90'+3'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 6.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Stade Armand-Cesari
  • Anthony Roncaglia 22' yellowcard
  • Migouel Alfarela 45'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Dylan Chambost 16'
  • goal Nathanael Mbuku 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Nathanael Mbuku 45'+4'
  • goal Irvin Cardona 67'
  • goal Nathanael Mbuku 78'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 19
Dec 19, 2023 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
  • Dylan Chambost 5' goal
  • Dylan Chambost 9' goal
  • Florian Tardieu 42' yellowcard
  • Anthony Briancon 51' yellowcard
  • Mathieu Cafaro 63' goal
  • yellowcard Christophe Vincent 41'
  • yellowcard Anthony Roncaglia 48'
  • goal Migouel Alfarela 71'
  • goal Cheick Keita 76'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 21
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kevin Van Den Kerkhof 50' goal
  • Tom Ducrocq 65' goal
Ligue 2 Gameweek 6
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
5
0
HT : 4 0
FT
  • Yvann Macon 8' goal
  • Jean-Philippe Krasso 19' goal
  • Jean-Philippe Krasso 33' goal
  • Jean-Philippe Krasso 36' goal
  • Abdoulaye Bakayoko 57' yellowcard
  • Jean-Philippe Krasso 61' goal
  • Darnel Eric Bile 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lloyd Palun 35'
  • yellowcard Joris Sainati 87'
Ligue 1
Mar 4, 2017 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nicolas Saint-Ruf 44' redcard
  • Gael Danic 70' yellowcard
  • redcard Fabien Lemoine 66'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Corgnet 77'