Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 53.18%. A win for Dunkerque had a probability of 23.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Dunkerque win was 1-2 (6.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.