Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Mans win with a probability of 41.33%. A draw had a probability of 30.25% and a win for Bastia had a probability of 28.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Mans win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.38%) , while for a Bastia win it was 1-0 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.