Ligue 2 Gameweek 34
May 9, 2026 7.00pm
Stade Armand-Césari

Bastia vs Le Mans - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bastia

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 7.00pm
Guingamp 0 - 1 Bastia
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Felix Tomi

Le Mans

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 7.00pm
Le Mans 1 - 1 Reims
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Antoine Rabillard

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Le Mans win with a probability of 41.33%. A draw has a probability of 30.25% and a win for Bastia has a probability of 28.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Mans win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.38%) , while for a Bastia win it is 1-0 (10.15%).

Result

Bastia 28.45%
Draw 30.25%
Le Mans 41.33%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.32%

Goals

Over 1.5 65.36%
Under 1.5 34.64%
Over 2.5 39.35%
Under 2.5 60.65%
Over 3.5 20.09% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 79.91% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 10% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 90% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Bastia 23.45%
Draw 46.19%
Le Mans 30.36%

Team To Score First

Bastia 36.42%
No Goal 11.41%
Le Mans 52.17%

Corners

Over 8 44.6%
Equal 8 12.61%
Under 8 42.78%
Over 9 33.02%
Equal 9 11.58%
Under 9 55.4%
Over 10.5 23.27%
Under 10.5 76.73%

Bastia Goals

Over 1.5 25.57% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 74.43% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 7.91%
Under 2.5 92.09%
Over 3.5 2.07%
Under 3.5 97.93%

Le Mans Goals

Over 0.5 70.01% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 29.99% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 34.98%
Under 1.5 65.02%
Over 2.5 13.44% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 86.56% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.19%
Under 3.5 95.81%

Score analysis

Bastia 28.45%
Draw 30.25%
Le Mans 41.34%
Bastia
1-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 6.4%
2-0 @ 5.06%
3-1 @ 2.13% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.56% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 28.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.38%
0-0 @ 11.41%
2-2 @ 4.39%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 30.25%
Le Mans
0-1 @ 13.12%
1-2 @ 8.29% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.56%
1-3 @ 3.57% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.02% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 41.34%

Head to Head

Ligue 2
Aug 22, 2025 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT