Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Mans win with a probability of 45.83%. A draw had a probability of 30.61% and a win for Grenoble had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Mans win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.14%) and 1-2 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.43%) , while for a Grenoble win it was 1-0 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.