May 2, 2026 7.00pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT Stade du Roudourou

Alpha Sissoko 44'
Erwin Koffi 60'
Freddy Mbemba 60'
Yohan Demoncy 61'
Youssef N'Joya N'Gapout 70'

Ruben Beliandjou 51'
Florian Bohnert 72'
Jérémy Sebas 72'
Amine Boutrah 85'

Guingamp vs Bastia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Guingamp

All competitions

L
L
D
L
L
W

Ligue 2

L
L
D
L
L
W

Last game

Apr 24, 2026 7.00pm

Red Star 3 - 2 Guingamp

Goals scored

42

Top scorer

Louis Mafouta

Bastia

All competitions

D
W
L
D
D
L

Ligue 2

D
W
L
D
D
L

Last game

Apr 24, 2026 7.00pm

Clermont 1 - 1 Bastia

Goals scored

23

Top scorer

Felix Tomi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 43.79%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Bastia had a probability of 27.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%) , while for a Bastia win it was 0-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result

Guingamp 43.79%

Draw 29%

Bastia 27.21%

Both Teams to Score:

44.74%

Goals

Over 1.5 65.2% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 1.5 34.8% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 2.5 38.56%

Under 2.5 61.44%

Over 3.5 18.71%

Under 3.5 81.29%

Over 4.5 9.28% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 4.5 90.72% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Guingamp 34.34%

Draw 43.36%

Bastia 22.3%

Team To Score First

Guingamp 51.87%

No Goal 11.22%

Bastia 36.91%

Corners

Over 8 56.97%

Equal 8 12.38%

Under 8 30.65%

Over 9 44.39%

Equal 9 12.59%

Under 9 43.03%

Over 10.5 32.77%

Under 10.5 67.23%

Guingamp Goals

Over 1.5 35.85% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 1.5 64.15% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 2.5 13.45%

Under 2.5 86.55%

Over 3.5 3.98%

Under 3.5 96.02%

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5 58.76% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 0.5 41.24% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 1.5 23.73% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 1.5 76.27% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 2.5 6.91% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 2.5 93.09% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 3.5 1.62%

Under 3.5 98.38%

Score analysis

Guingamp 43.78%

Draw 29.02%

Bastia 27.22%

Guingamp

1-0 @ 13.74%

2-0 @ 8.74%

2-1 @ 8.43%

3-0 @ 3.59%

3-1 @ 3.47%

3-2 @ 1.84%

Other @ 3.97%

Total : 43.78%

Draw

1-1 @ 13.27%

0-0 @ 11.22%

2-2 @ 3.95%

Other @ 0.01%

Total : 29.02%

Bastia

0-1 @ 9.86%

1-2 @ 6.42%

0-2 @ 4.61%

1-3 @ 2.03%

0-3 @ 1.41%

2-3 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 1.61%

Total : 27.22%

Head to Head

Aug 30, 2025 1.00pm

1

3

HT : 0 0

FT

May 2, 2025 7.00pm

2

2

HT : 1 1

FT Stade du Roudourou

Dylan Louiserre 16'
Rayan Ghrieb 27'
Sohaib Nair 50'
Donatien Gomis 83'

Jeremy Sebas 2'
Zakaria Ariss 10'
Christ Ravynel Inao Oulai 29'
Felix Tomi 40'
Lamine Cisse 53'
Maxime Ble 81'
Florian Bohnert 90'

Dec 13, 2024 7.00pm

3

1

HT : 0 1

FT Stade Armand-Cesari

Tom Meynadier 18'
Felix Tomi 50'
Dominique Guidi 63'
Lamine Cisse 72'
Julien Maggiotti 86'

Jacques-Julien Siwe 32'
Amine Hemia 39'
Nelson Sissoko 54'
Kalidou Sidibe 57'
Taylor Luvambo 90'+3'

Apr 20, 2024 6.00pm

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT Stade du Roudourou

Lucas Maronnier 37'

Issiar Drame 26'
Tom Ducrocq 44'

Oct 28, 2023 6.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Stade Armand-Cesari

Romaric Yapi 37'

Pierre Lemonnier 45'
Dylan Louiserre 78'
Pierre Lemonnier 90'+3'
Maxime Sivis 90'+3'

Feb 18, 2023 6.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT

Kylian Kaiboue 32'

Gaetan Courtet 80'

Form Data

Red Star 3 - 2 Guingamp

Pau 2 - 1 Guingamp

Guingamp 1 - 1 Grenoble

Annecy 1 - 0 Guingamp

Guingamp 0 - 2 Reims

Guingamp 1 - 0 Amiens

Clermont 1 - 1 Bastia

Bastia 2 - 0 St Etienne

Red Star 4 - 3 Bastia

Bastia 1 - 1 Amiens

Rodez AF 1 - 1 Bastia

Bastia 0 - 1 Boulogne