Ligue 2 Gameweek 33
May 2, 2026 7.00pm
Stade du Roudourou

Guingamp vs Bastia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Guingamp

All competitions
Last game
Apr 24, 2026 7.00pm
Red Star 3 - 2 Guingamp
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Louis Mafouta

Bastia

All competitions
Last game
Apr 24, 2026 7.00pm
Clermont 1 - 1 Bastia
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Felix Tomi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Guingamp win with a probability of 43.64%. A draw has a probability of 29.06% and a win for Bastia has a probability of 27.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.69%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.28%) , while for a Bastia win it is 0-1 (9.85%).

Result

Guingamp 43.64%
Draw 29.06%
Bastia 27.27%

Both Teams to Score: 

44.81%

Goals

Over 1.5 65.23%
Under 1.5 34.77%
Over 2.5 38.65%
Under 2.5 61.35%
Over 3.5 18.72%
Under 3.5 81.28%
Over 4.5 9.27%
Under 4.5 90.73%

First Half Winner

Guingamp 34.25%
Draw 43.32%
Bastia 22.42%

Team To Score First

Guingamp 51.94%
No Goal 11.21%
Bastia 36.85%

Corners

Over 8 56.71%
Equal 8 12.31%
Under 8 30.97%
Over 9 44.23%
Equal 9 12.48%
Under 9 43.29%
Over 10.5 32.73%
Under 10.5 67.28%

Guingamp Goals

Over 1.5 35.81%
Under 1.5 64.19%
Over 2.5 13.42%
Under 2.5 86.58%
Over 3.5 3.95%
Under 3.5 96.05%

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5 58.86%
Under 0.5 41.14%
Over 1.5 23.84%
Under 1.5 76.16%
Over 2.5 6.97%
Under 2.5 93.03%
Over 3.5 1.62%
Under 3.5 98.38%

Score analysis

Guingamp 43.63%
Draw 29.08%
Bastia 27.27%
Guingamp
1-0 @ 13.69%
2-0 @ 8.69%
2-1 @ 8.44%
3-0 @ 3.59%
3-1 @ 3.45%
3-2 @ 1.83%
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 43.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.28%
0-0 @ 11.21%
2-2 @ 3.98%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 29.08%
Bastia
0-1 @ 9.85%
1-2 @ 6.47%
0-2 @ 4.59%
1-3 @ 2.03%
0-3 @ 1.44%
2-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 27.27%

Head to Head

Ligue 2
Aug 30, 2025 1.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 2 Gameweek 33
May 2, 2025 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stade du Roudourou
  • Dylan Louiserre 16' yellowcard
  • Rayan Ghrieb 27' goal
  • Sohaib Nair 50' yellowcard
  • Donatien Gomis 83' goal
  • yellowcard Jeremy Sebas 2'
  • yellowcard Zakaria Ariss 10'
  • yellowcard Christ Ravynel Inao Oulai 29'
  • goal Felix Tomi 40'
  • goal Lamine Cisse 53'
  • yellowcard Maxime Ble 81'
  • yellowcard Florian Bohnert 90'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 16
Dec 13, 2024 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Armand-Cesari
  • Tom Meynadier 18' yellowcard
  • Felix Tomi 50' goal
  • Dominique Guidi 63' yellowcard
  • Lamine Cisse 72' goal
  • Julien Maggiotti 86' goal
  • goal Jacques-Julien Siwe 32'
  • yellowcard Amine Hemia 39'
  • yellowcard Nelson Sissoko 54'
  • yellowcard Kalidou Sidibe 57'
  • yellowcard Taylor Luvambo 90'+3'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 33
Apr 20, 2024 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade du Roudourou
  • Lucas Maronnier 37' yellowcard
  • goal Issiar Drame 26'
  • yellowcard Tom Ducrocq 44'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 12
Oct 28, 2023 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Armand-Cesari
  • Romaric Yapi 37' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pierre Lemonnier 45'
  • yellowcard Dylan Louiserre 78'
  • redcard Pierre Lemonnier 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Maxime Sivis 90'+3'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 24
Feb 18, 2023 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kylian Kaiboue 32' goal
  • goal Gaetan Courtet 80'