Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 77.15%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 9.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.86%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.99%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-2 (2.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.