Ligue 1 Gameweek 33
Montpellier
May 10, 2025 8.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT Stade de la Mosson
PSG
  • Jordan Ferri 42' yellowcard
  • Tanguy Coulibaly 64' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Beraldo 39'
  • goal Senny Mayulu 44'
  • goal Goncalo Ramos 49'
  • goal Goncalo Ramos 59'
  • goal Goncalo Ramos 65'

Montpellier HSC vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last game
May 4, 2025 4.15pm
Brest 1 - 0 Montpellier
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Arnaud Nordin

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2025 4.00pm
Strasbourg 2 - 1 PSG
Goals scored
92
Top scorer
Ousmane Dembele

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 78.74%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 8.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-3 with a probability of 8.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.23%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.17%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 2-1 (2.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result

Montpellier HSC 8.77% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 12.49% ▼ (-0.01)
Paris Saint-Germain 78.74% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.16% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 77.4% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 22.6% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 58.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 41.71% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 4.5 38.77% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 61.23% ▼ (-0.01)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5 63.03%
Under 0.5 36.96% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 26.24% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 73.75% ▲ (+0.01)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 95.45% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 4.55% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 81.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 18.62% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Montpellier HSC 8.77%
Draw 12.49%
Paris Saint-Germain 78.74%
Montpellier HSC
2-1 @ 2.58%
1-0 @ 1.68%
3-2 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 8.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.17% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 1.68%
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 12.49%
Paris Saint-Germain
0-3 @ 8.27%
1-3 @ 8.23%
0-2 @ 8.03% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.99% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 6.39% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 6.36% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.2% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 4.1%
0-5 @ 3.95% ▲ (+0.01)
1-5 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.01)
0-6 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.01)
1-6 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.01)
2-5 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.01)
3-4 @ 1.05%
2-6 @ 1.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 5.06%
Total : 78.74%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 2
PSG
Aug 23, 2024 7.45pm
6
0
HT : 2 0
FT Parc des Princes
Montpellier
  • Bradley Barcola 4' goal
  • Marco Asensio 24' goal
  • Bradley Barcola 53' goal
  • Ousmane Dembele 55' yellowcard
  • Achraf Hakimi 58' goal
  • Warren Zaire-Emery 60' goal
  • Lee Kang-in 82' goal
  • yellowcard Falaye Sacko 33'
  • yellowcard Joris Chotard 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Boubakar Kouyate 50'
  • yellowcard Wahbi Khazri 57'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 26
Montpellier
Mar 17, 2024 7.45pm
2
6
HT : 2 2
FT Stade de la Mosson
PSG
  • Arnaud Nordin 30' goal
  • Teji Savanier 45'+2' goal
  • goal Vitinha 14'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 22'
  • yellowcard Lucas Beraldo 38'
  • yellowcard Gianluigi Donnarumma 45'+2'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 50'
  • goal Lee Kang-in 53'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 63'
  • yellowcard Nuno Mendes 72'
  • goal Nuno Mendes 89'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 11
PSG
Nov 3, 2023 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Municipal Georges Lefevre
Montpellier
  • Lee Kang-in 10' goal
  • Warren Zaire-Emery 58' goal
  • Vitinha 66' goal
  • Nordi Mukiele 82' yellowcard
Ligue 1 Gameweek 21
Montpellier
Feb 1, 2023 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
PSG
  • Arnaud Nordin 89' goal
  • goal Fabian Ruiz 55'
  • goal Lionel Messi 72'
  • goal Warren Zaire-Emery 90'+2'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 2
PSG
Aug 13, 2022 8.00pm
5
2
HT : 2 0
FT
Montpellier
  • Falaye Sacko 39' goal
  • Neymar 43' goal
  • Neymar 51' goal
  • Presnel Kimpembe 60' yellowcard
  • Vitinha 66' yellowcard
  • Kylian Mbappe 69' goal
  • Renato Sanches 87' goal
  • goal Wahbi Khazri 58'
  • yellowcard Elye Wahi 63'
  • goal Enzo Tchato Mbiayi 90'+1'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 37
Montpellier
May 14, 2022 8.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT
PSG
  • Arnaud Souquet 41' yellowcard
  • Jordan Ferri 89' yellowcard
  • goal Lionel Messi 6'
  • goal Lionel Messi 20'
  • goal Angel di Maria 26'
  • yellowcard Ander Herrera 34'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 60'
  • yellowcard Xavi Simons 70'
  • yellowcard Kylian Mbappe 85'
  • yellowcard Marquinhos 90'+2'

Form Data

Brest 1 - 0 Montpellier
Montpellier 0 - 0 Reims
Marseille 5 - 1 Montpellier
Angers 2 - 0 Montpellier
Montpellier 0 - 2 Le Havre
Auxerre 1 - 0 Montpellier
PSG 2 - 1 Arsenal
Strasbourg 2 - 1 PSG
Arsenal 0 - 1 PSG
PSG 1 - 3 Nice
Nantes 1 - 1 PSG
PSG 2 - 1 Le Havre