Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
May 10, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Montpellier1 - 4PSG
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brest 1-0 Montpellier
Sunday, May 4 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, May 4 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Goals
for
for
22
We said: Montpellier HSC 1-6 Paris Saint-Germain
You have to go back to 2010, and before the Qatari takeover, to find the last time PSG lost three successive matches in Ligue 1, and thankfully for them, Montpellier are unlikely going to put up much resistance. Only twice in the 21st century has a team at the bottom of Ligue 1 beaten the club at the top of the standings, and the gap between top and bottom has never been quite as stark as this, and a repeat of the 6-0 thrashing inflicted on Montpellier in the reverse fixture could be in store. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 78.74%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 8.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-3 with a probability of 8.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.23%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.17%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 2-1 (2.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
8.77% ( -0) | 12.49% ( -0) | 78.74% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 60.16% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
