Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33

May 10, 2025 at 8pm UK

Stade de l'Abbe Deschamps

Auxerre
1 - 1
Nantes

Perrin (45')
Sinayoko (71'), Jubal (80'), Diomande (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Leroux (62')
Zeze (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Auxerre

All competitions

Last Game: Auxerre 1-2 Le Havre
Sunday, May 4 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Nantes

All competitions

Last Game: Nantes 0-1 Angers
Sunday, May 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 49.08%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Auxerre	Draw	Nantes
49.08% ( 0.13)	24.51% ( -0.04)	26.4% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 54.68% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.42% (

0.13)

47.58% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.22% (

0.12)

69.78% (

-0.12)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.57% (

0.1)

19.43% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.74% (

0.17)

51.26% (

-0.17)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.87% (

32.13% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.39% (

68.61% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Auxerre 49.08%

Nantes 26.4%

Draw 24.51%

Auxerre	Draw	Nantes
1-0 @ 10.23% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 49.08%	1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.51%	0-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 26.4%