Ligue 1 Gameweek 33
May 10, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de l'Abbe Deschamps
  • Gaetan Perrin 45' goal
  • Lassine Sinayoko 71' yellowcard
  • Jubal 80' yellowcard
  • Sinaly Diomande 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Zeze 56'
  • goal Louis Leroux 62'

Auxerre vs Nantes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Auxerre

All competitions
Last game
May 4, 2025 4.15pm
Auxerre 1 - 2 Le Havre
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Gaetan Perrin

Nantes

All competitions
Last game
May 4, 2025 2.00pm
Nantes 0 - 1 Angers
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Moses Simon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 49.08%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Auxerre 49.08% (+0.13)
Draw 24.51% (-0.05)
Nantes 26.4% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.68% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.42% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 47.58% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 30.22% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 69.78% (-0.12)
Over 4.5 14.82% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 85.18% (-0.09)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5 80.57% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 19.43% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 48.74% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 51.26% (-0.17)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5 67.87% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 32.13% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 31.39% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 68.61% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Auxerre 49.08%
Draw 24.51%
Nantes 26.4%
Auxerre
1-0 @ 10.23% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.51% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.38% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.2% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.58% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.95% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.13% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.87% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.21% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 49.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.24% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.4% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.51%
Nantes
0-1 @ 7.09% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 6.59% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.02% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.04% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 26.4%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 2
Aug 25, 2024 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
  • Moses Simon 14' goal
  • Moses Simon 14' goal
  • Nathan Zeze 63' yellowcard
  • Douglas 79' yellowcard
  • Bahereba Guirassy 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Rayan Raveloson 20'
  • redcard Ado Onaiwu 53'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 31
Apr 16, 2023 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jubal 5' goal
  • Nuno da Costa 43' goal
  • goal Mostafa Mohamed 55'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 17
Jan 1, 2023 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Marcus Coco 74' goal
Coupe de la Ligue
Dec 17, 2013 7.55pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Fernando Aristeguieta 75' goal
  • Lucas Deaux 81' yellowcard