Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32

May 4, 2025 at 4.15pm UK

Stade de l'Abbe Deschamps

Auxerre
1 - 2
Le Havre

Sinayoko (62')
Akpa (27'), Hoever (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Jubal (79' og.), Sangante (90+2')
Casimir (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Auxerre

All competitions

Last Game: Lens 0-4 Auxerre
Sunday, April 27 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Le Havre

All competitions

Last Game: Le Havre 1-1 Monaco
Saturday, April 26 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 63.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 15.83%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Auxerre	Draw	Le Havre
63.68% ( -0.64)	20.49% ( 0.25)	15.83% ( 0.39)

Both teams to score 51.82% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.46% (

-0.36)

43.54% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.06% (

-0.36)

65.93% (

0.36)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87% (

-0.3)

13% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.48% (

-0.61)

39.52% (

0.61)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.57% (

0.29)

40.43% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.95% (

0.26)

77.05% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Auxerre 63.68%

Le Havre 15.83%

Draw 20.49%

Auxerre	Draw	Le Havre
2-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 10.72% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.15% Total : 63.68%	1-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.49%	0-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.84% Total : 15.83%