Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33

May 10, 2025 at 8pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
1 - 4
PSG

Coulibaly (64')
Ferri (42')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mayulu (44'), Ramos (49', 59' pen., 65')
Beraldo (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Brest 1-0 Montpellier
Sunday, May 4 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: PSG 2-1 Arsenal
Wednesday, May 7 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 78.74%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 8.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-3 with a probability of 8.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.23%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.17%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 2-1 (2.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
8.77% ( -0)	12.49% ( -0)	78.74% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 60.16% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

77.4% (

0.01)

22.6% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

58.29% (

0.01)

41.71% (

-0.01)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.03%

36.96% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.24% (

-0)

73.75% (

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.45% (

4.55% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

81.38% (

0.01)

18.62% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 8.77%

Paris Saint-Germain 78.74%

Draw 12.49%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 2.58% 1-0 @ 1.68% 3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 8.77%	1-1 @ 5.17% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.98% ( -0) 0-0 @ 1.68% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.3% Total : 12.49%	0-3 @ 8.27% 1-3 @ 8.23% 0-2 @ 8.03% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0) 0-4 @ 6.39% ( 0) 1-4 @ 6.36% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.2% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.1% 0-5 @ 3.95% ( 0) 1-5 @ 3.93% ( 0) 2-4 @ 3.16% ( 0) 0-6 @ 2.03% ( 0) 1-6 @ 2.02% ( 0) 2-5 @ 1.96% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.05% 2-6 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 5.06% Total : 78.74%