Liga MX Gameweek 6
Aug 31, 2026 1.00am
1
0
LIVE Estadio Nemesio Díez
  • Helinho 10' goal

Toluca vs Juarez - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 4.10am
Queretaro 1 - 2 Toluca
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Helinho

Juarez

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 4.10am
Juarez 1 - 2 America
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
José Luis Rodríguez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Toluca win with a probability of 68.31%. A draw has a probability of 17.97% and a win for Juarez has a probability of 13.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.81%) and 1-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.23%) , while for a Juarez win it is 1-2 (4.24%).

Result

Toluca 68.31% (-0.04)
Draw 17.97% (+0.01)
Juarez 13.72%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.6% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.59% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 16.41% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 63.92% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 36.08% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 39.95% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 60.05% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 27.8% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 72.2% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Toluca 52.9% (+0.04)
Draw 34.61% (-0.01)
Juarez 12.49% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Toluca 72.73%
No Goal 4.08% (+0.03)
Juarez 23.19% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 67.89% (+0.05)
Equal 8 9.89%
Under 8 22.22% (-0.05)
Over 9 56.99% (+0.04)
Equal 9 10.9%
Under 9 32.1% (-0.05)
Over 10.5 45.94% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 54.06% (-0.04)

Toluca Goals

Over 1.5 66.49% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 33.51% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 40.71% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 59.29% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 21.49% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 78.51% (+0.02)

Juarez Goals

Over 0.5 47.79% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 52.21% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 18.82%
Under 1.5 81.18%
Over 2.5 5.41%
Under 2.5 94.59%
Over 3.5 1.3%
Under 3.5 98.7%

Score analysis

Toluca 68.31%
Draw 17.98%
Juarez 13.72%
Toluca
2-1 @ 10.37% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.81%
1-0 @ 8.65% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.44% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.68% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.12%
Other @ 21.24% (-0.02)
Total : 68.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.23% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.44%
0-0 @ 4.08% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 17.98%
Juarez
1-2 @ 4.24%
0-1 @ 3.69% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.61%
2-3 @ 1.16%
1-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 13.72%

Head to Head

Liga MX Gameweek 10
Mar 8, 2026 11.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Díez
  • Helinho 54' yellowcard
  • Antonio Briseño 70' goal
  • Jesús Gallardo 76' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 77' yellowcard
  • Federico Pereira 81' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vega 81' yellowcard
  • Pável Pérez 86' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 90'+8' goal
  • yellowcard Luca Martínez Dupuy 68'
  • yellowcard Guilherme Castilho 68'
  • yellowcard Homer Martínez 68'
  • goal Guilherme Castilho 72'
  • yellowcard Ettson Ayón 74'
  • yellowcard Javier Aquino 81'
Liga MX
Nov 30, 2025 1.05am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Juan Dominguez 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Homer Martinez 31'
  • yellowcard Homer Martinez 32'
  • yellowcard Rodolfo Pizarro 36'
  • yellowcard Guilherme Castilho 75'
Liga MX
Aug 12, 2025 4.00am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Liga MX Gameweek 8
Feb 22, 2025 11.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez
  • Moises Mosquera 20' yellowcard
  • Jesus Murillo 22' yellowcard
  • Jairo Torres 28' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Castilho 54' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brian Garcia 1'
  • goal Paulinho 12'
  • goal Jesus Angulo 17'
  • goal Paulinho 26'
  • goal Paulinho 75'
  • yellowcard Jesus Gallardo 77'
Liga MX Gameweek 2
Jul 14, 2024 2.10am
3
2
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Paulinho 10' goal
  • Paulinho 10' goal
  • Moises Mosquera 17' goal
  • Moises Mosquera 17' goal
  • Paulinho 71' goal
  • Paulinho 71' goal
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 15'
  • yellowcard Ralph Orquin 15'
  • yellowcard Ralph Orquin 17'
  • yellowcard Dieter Villalpando 17'
  • yellowcard Dieter Villalpando 37'
  • yellowcard Angel Zaldivar 37'
  • goal Jesus Venegas 48'
  • goal Jesus Venegas 48'
  • goal Angel Zaldivar 54'
  • goal Angel Zaldivar 54'
  • yellowcard Angel Zaldivar 61'
  • yellowcard Angel Zaldivar 61'
Liga MX Gameweek 11
Mar 9, 2024 3.10am
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez
  • Aitor Garcia 39' goal
  • Aitor Garcia 39' goal
  • goal Jesus Angulo 16'
  • goal Jesus Angulo 16'