Leagues Cup
Aug 13, 2026 3.00am
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Nemesio Díez
  • Alexis Vega 8' goal
  • Federico Pereira 33' yellowcard
  • Federico Viñas 45'+2' goal
  • Érick Gabriel Gutiérrez Galaviz 50' goal
  • goal Petar Musa 9'
  • yellowcard Ramiro 17'
  • yellowcard Osaze Urhoghide 78'
  • yellowcard Ran Binyamin 79'
  • yellowcard Sam Sarver 90'+1'

Toluca vs Dallas - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 4.10am
Toluca 0 - 1 Los Angeles

Dallas

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 2.00am
Guadalajara 0 - 1 Dallas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 59.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.82% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 19.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%) , while for a Dallas win it was 1-2 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result

Toluca 59.97%
Draw 20.82%
Dallas 19.22%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.85% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.6% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 18.4% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 60.78% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 39.22% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 39.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 60.87% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 25.49% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 74.51% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Toluca 48.41%
Draw 33.97%
Dallas 17.62%

Team To Score First

Toluca 64%
No Goal 4.63% ▼ (-0.01)
Dallas 31.37% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 63.33%
Equal 8 10.2%
Under 8 26.47%
Over 9 52.47%
Equal 9 10.85%
Under 9 36.67%
Over 10.5 41.82%
Under 10.5 58.18%

Toluca Goals

Over 1.5 59.64% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 40.36% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 34.18% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 65.82% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 16.49% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 83.51% ▼ (-0.02)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5 55.14% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 44.86% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 24.83% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 75.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 8.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 91.84% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 2.32%
Under 3.5 97.68%

Score analysis

Toluca 59.96%
Draw 20.83%
Dallas 19.21%
Toluca
2-1 @ 9.44%
1-0 @ 8.97% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.78%
3-1 @ 6.55%
3-0 @ 6.21%
3-2 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 16.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 59.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.52% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.27%
0-0 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.83%
Dallas
1-2 @ 5.14%
0-1 @ 4.8%
0-2 @ 2.52%
2-3 @ 1.97%
1-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 19.21%