Leagues Cup
Aug 13, 2026 3.00am
3
1
HT : 2 1
LIVE Estadio Nemesio Díez
  • Alexis Vega 8' goal
  • Federico Pereira 33' yellowcard
  • Federico Viñas 45'+2' goal
  • Érick Gabriel Gutiérrez Galaviz 50' goal
  • goal Petar Musa 9'
  • yellowcard Ramiro 17'
  • yellowcard Osaze Urhoghide 78'
  • yellowcard Ran Binyamin 79'

Toluca vs Dallas - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 4.10am
Toluca 0 - 1 Los Angeles

Dallas

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 2.00am
Guadalajara 0 - 1 Dallas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Toluca win with a probability of 59.97%. A draw has a probability of 20.82% and a win for Dallas has a probability of 19.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.51%) , while for a Dallas win it is 1-2 (5.14%).

Result

Toluca 59.97% (-0.04)
Draw 20.82% (+0.04)
Dallas 19.22%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.81% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.55% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 18.45% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 60.74% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 39.26% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 39.1% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 60.9% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 25.45% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 74.55% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Toluca 48.41% (+0.38)
Draw 33.97% (-0.18)
Dallas 17.62% (-0.22)

Team To Score First

Toluca 64% (+0.08)
No Goal 4.64% (+0.02)
Dallas 31.36% (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 63.33% (-0.22)
Equal 8 10.2%
Under 8 26.47% (+0.21)
Over 9 52.47% (-0.22)
Equal 9 10.85% (-0.01)
Under 9 36.67% (+0.22)
Over 10.5 41.82% (-0.18)
Under 10.5 58.18% (+0.18)

Toluca Goals

Over 1.5 59.6% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 40.4% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 34.14% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 65.86% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 16.47% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 83.53% (+0.02)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5 55.11% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 44.89% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 24.81%
Under 1.5 75.19%
Over 2.5 8.15% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 91.85% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.32% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.68% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Toluca 59.96%
Draw 20.82%
Dallas 19.21%
Toluca
2-1 @ 9.44%
1-0 @ 9% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.78% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 6.55% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6.21% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.73% (-0.02)
Other @ 16.25% (-0.02)
Total : 59.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.51% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.27% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.64% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.22% (+0.02)
Total : 20.82%
Dallas
1-2 @ 5.14% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 4.8% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.52% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.97% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.83% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 19.21%