Leagues Cup
Aug 6, 2026 3.00am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Díez
  • Jesús Gallardo 3' goal
  • Helinho 64' goal
  • Federico Viñas 90'+3' goal

Toluca vs Seattle Sounders - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions

Seattle Sounders

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 56.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.84% and a win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%) , while for a Seattle Sounders win it was 1-2 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result

Toluca 56.58% (+0.18)
Draw 21.84% (-0.06)
Seattle Sounders 21.57% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.94% (+0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.53% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 18.47% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 60.28% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 39.72% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 38.17% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 61.83% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 24.13% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 75.87% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Toluca 41.19% (-0.13)
Draw 38.4% (+0.04)
Seattle Sounders 20.42% (+0.11)

Team To Score First

Toluca 59.29% (-0.01)
No Goal 4.57% (-0.03)
Seattle Sounders 36.14% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 57.11% (+0.11)
Equal 8 10.86%
Under 8 32.03% (-0.11)
Over 9 46.1% (+0.11)
Equal 9 11.01%
Under 9 42.89% (-0.11)
Over 10.5 35.79% (+0.11)
Under 10.5 64.21% (-0.11)

Toluca Goals

Over 1.5 57.35% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 42.65% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 30.96% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 69.04% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 14.25% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 85.75% (-0.07)

Seattle Sounders Goals

Over 0.5 58.4% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 41.6% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 27.65% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 72.35% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 9.95% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 90.05% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.96% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.04% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Toluca 56.58%
Draw 21.84%
Seattle Sounders 21.58%
Toluca
2-1 @ 9.83% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.94% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.55% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.14% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.6% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.58% (+0.03)
Other @ 13.94% (+0.08)
Total : 56.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.82% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.75%
0-0 @ 4.57% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 21.84%
Seattle Sounders
1-2 @ 5.49% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 4.96% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 2.88% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.15% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.65% (-0.02)
Total : 21.58%