Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026 4.10am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Díez
  • Everardo del Villar 56' yellowcard
  • Federico Viñas 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Martínez 30'
  • goal Eddie Segura 90'+1'

Toluca vs Los Angeles FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last game
Aug 6, 2026 3.00am
Toluca 3 - 0 Seattle

Los Angeles FC

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last game
Aug 6, 2026 3.30am
Los Angeles 1 - 1 Guadalajara

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 46.52%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result

Toluca 46.52% ▼ (-8.85)
Draw 23.41% ▲ (+1.22)
Los Angeles FC 30.03% ▲ (+7.59)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.99% ▲ (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.4% ▼ (-1.19)
Under 1.5 18.6% ▲ (+1.20)
Over 2.5 60.25% ▼ (-1.86)
Under 2.5 39.75% ▲ (+1.86)
Over 3.5 38.47% ▼ (-1.86)
Under 3.5 61.53% ▲ (+1.86)
Over 4.5 23.82% ▼ (-1.90)
Under 4.5 76.18% ▲ (+1.91)

First Half Winner

Toluca 44.48% ▲ (+0.13)
Draw 36.94% ▼ (-0.09)
Los Angeles FC 18.58% ▼ (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Toluca 62.95% ▼ (-0.36)
No Goal 4.68% ▲ (+0.38)
Los Angeles FC 32.37% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 58.63% ▼ (-0.23)
Equal 8 10.58%
Under 8 30.79% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 9 47.78% ▼ (-0.20)
Equal 9 10.86% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 9 41.36% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 10.5 37.47% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 10.5 62.53% ▲ (+0.18)

Toluca Goals

Over 1.5 49.86% ▼ (-7.76)
Under 1.5 50.14% ▲ (+7.76)
Over 2.5 25.19% ▼ (-6.37)
Under 2.5 74.81% ▲ (+6.38)
Over 3.5 10.94% ▼ (-3.64)
Under 3.5 89.06% ▲ (+3.63)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5 66.08% ▲ (+6.25)
Under 0.5 33.92% ▼ (-6.25)
Over 1.5 36.03% ▲ (+6.27)
Under 1.5 63.97% ▼ (-6.27)
Over 2.5 14.85% ▲ (+3.82)
Under 2.5 85.15% ▼ (-3.82)
Over 3.5 5.26% ▲ (+1.65)
Under 3.5 94.74% ▼ (-1.66)

Score analysis

Toluca 46.51%
Draw 23.41%
Los Angeles FC 30.03%
Toluca
2-1 @ 8.87% ▼ (-0.74)
1-0 @ 7.88% ▼ (-0.46)
2-0 @ 6.63% ▼ (-1.29)
3-1 @ 4.92% ▼ (-1.12)
3-0 @ 4.11% ▼ (-1.30)
3-2 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.36)
Other @ 10.57% ▼ (-3.63)
Total : 46.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.27% ▲ (+0.61)
2-2 @ 6.4% ▲ (+0.23)
0-0 @ 4.68% ▲ (+0.38)
3-3 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.41%
Los Angeles FC
1-2 @ 7% ▲ (+1.24)
0-1 @ 5.99% ▲ (+1.23)
0-2 @ 4.25% ▲ (+1.34)
1-3 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.92)
2-3 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.42)
0-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 4.89% ▲ (+1.65)
Total : 30.03%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Champions League
May 7, 2026 2.30am
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Díez
  • Helinho 49' yellowcard
  • Everardo del Villar 58' goal
  • Diego Barbosa 74' yellowcard
  • Pável Pérez 82' yellowcard
  • Fernando Arce 82' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 90'+2' goal
  • Antonio Briseño 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Ryan Hollingshead 46'
  • yellowcard Stephen Eustaquio 59'
  • yellowcard David Martínez 59'
  • yellowcard Artem Smolyakov 76'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Ebobisse 77'
CONCACAF Champions League
Apr 30, 2026 3.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Stadium
  • Timothy Tillman 51' goal
  • Kenny Nielsen 67' yellowcard
  • Stephen Eustaquio 80' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Ebobisse 80' yellowcard
  • Nkosi Tafari 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Diego Barbosa 64'
  • goal Jesús Angulo 73'
  • yellowcard 80'
  • yellowcard Alexis Vega 80'
  • yellowcard Fernando Arce 88'
  • yellowcard Jorge Díaz 89'