Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026 4.10am
0
0
LIVE Estadio Nemesio Díez

Toluca vs Los Angeles FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last game
Aug 6, 2026 3.00am
Toluca 3 - 0 Seattle

Los Angeles FC

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last game
Aug 6, 2026 3.30am
Los Angeles 1 - 1 Guadalajara

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Toluca win with a probability of 55.37%. A win for Los Angeles FC has a probability of 22.44% and a draw has a probability of 22.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win is 1-2 (5.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.66%).

Result

Toluca 55.37% (+4.63)
Draw 22.19% (-1.44)
Los Angeles FC 22.44% (-3.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.84% (+1.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.59% (+1.79)
Under 1.5 17.41% (-1.79)
Over 2.5 62.1% (+2.61)
Under 2.5 37.9% (-2.61)
Over 3.5 40.33% (+2.41)
Under 3.5 59.67% (-2.41)
Over 4.5 25.72% (+2.33)
Under 4.5 74.28% (-2.32)

First Half Winner

Toluca 44.35% (+3.29)
Draw 37.02% (-1.01)
Los Angeles FC 18.63% (-2.27)

Team To Score First

Toluca 63.31% (+3.82)
No Goal 4.31% (-0.69)
Los Angeles FC 32.38% (-3.13)

Corners

Over 8 58.86% (+0.61)
Equal 8 10.58% (-0.07)
Under 8 30.56% (-0.56)
Over 9 47.98% (+0.61)
Equal 9 10.88% (-0.01)
Under 9 41.14% (-0.61)
Over 10.5 37.64% (+0.58)
Under 10.5 62.36% (-0.58)

Toluca Goals

Over 1.5 57.62% (+4.58)
Under 1.5 42.38% (-4.58)
Over 2.5 31.56% (+4.07)
Under 2.5 68.44% (-4.08)
Over 3.5 14.57% (+2.49)
Under 3.5 85.43% (-2.48)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5 59.83% (-2.65)
Under 0.5 40.17% (+2.65)
Over 1.5 29.77% (-2.13)
Under 1.5 70.23% (+2.13)
Over 2.5 11.03% (-1.15)
Under 2.5 88.97% (+1.15)
Over 3.5 3.61% (-0.43)
Under 3.5 96.39% (+0.43)

Score analysis

Toluca 55.37%
Draw 22.19%
Los Angeles FC 22.44%
Toluca
2-1 @ 9.6% (+0.39)
1-0 @ 8.33% (-0.25)
2-0 @ 7.92% (+0.39)
3-1 @ 6.03% (+0.52)
3-0 @ 5.41% (+0.72)
3-2 @ 3.88% (+0.36)
Other @ 14.2% (+2.49)
Total : 55.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.66% (-0.60)
2-2 @ 6.18% (-0.17)
0-0 @ 4.31% (-0.69)
3-3 @ 1.67% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.37% (-0.02)
Total : 22.19%
Los Angeles FC
1-2 @ 5.77% (-0.58)
0-1 @ 4.77% (-0.83)
0-2 @ 2.91% (-0.60)
1-3 @ 2.41% (-0.25)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.12)
Other @ 3.24% (-0.41)
Total : 22.44%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Champions League
May 7, 2026 2.30am
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Díez
  • Helinho 49' yellowcard
  • Everardo del Villar 58' goal
  • Diego Barbosa 74' yellowcard
  • Pável Pérez 82' yellowcard
  • Fernando Arce 82' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 90'+2' goal
  • Antonio Briseño 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Ryan Hollingshead 46'
  • yellowcard Stephen Eustaquio 59'
  • yellowcard David Martínez 59'
  • yellowcard Artem Smolyakov 76'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Ebobisse 77'
CONCACAF Champions League
Apr 30, 2026 3.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Stadium
  • Timothy Tillman 51' goal
  • Kenny Nielsen 67' yellowcard
  • Stephen Eustaquio 80' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Ebobisse 80' yellowcard
  • Nkosi Tafari 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Diego Barbosa 64'
  • goal Jesús Angulo 73'
  • yellowcard 80'
  • yellowcard Alexis Vega 80'
  • yellowcard Fernando Arce 88'
  • yellowcard Jorge Díaz 89'