Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 1-2 (7.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.