Liga MX Gameweek 5
Aug 22, 2026 4.10am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio La Corregidora
  • Alí Ávila 55' yellowcard
  • Santiago Homenchenko 79' goal
  • Iker Benito 81' yellowcard
  • Santiago Homenchenko 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexis Vega 19'
  • redcard Diego Barbosa 31'
  • yellowcard Fernando Arce 45'+5'
  • goal Helinho 65'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Castro 74'
  • goal Federico Viñas 90'

Queretaro vs Toluca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Queretaro

All competitions
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 7.00pm
Pumas 0 - 0 Queretaro

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 12.00am
Atlante 0 - 0 Toluca

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 52.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.73% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 23.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%) , while for a Queretaro win it was 1-0 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result

Queretaro 23.55% (-0.04)
Draw 23.73%
Toluca 52.72% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.16%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.55% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 25.45% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 50.1%
Under 2.5 49.9%
Over 3.5 27.53%
Under 3.5 72.47%
Over 4.5 16.02%
Under 4.5 83.98%

First Half Winner

Queretaro 18.05%
Draw 42.18%
Toluca 39.77%

Team To Score First

Queretaro 29.75%
No Goal 7.28%
Toluca 62.97%

Corners

Over 8 55.58%
Equal 8 11.29%
Under 8 33.13%
Over 9 44.28%
Equal 9 11.31%
Under 9 44.42%
Over 10.5 33.84%
Under 10.5 66.16%

Queretaro Goals

Over 1.5 24.43% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 75.57% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 7.53% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 92.47% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.87%
Under 3.5 98.13%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 78.5% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 21.5% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 48.45% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 51.55% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 23% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 77% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 9.18% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 90.82% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Queretaro 23.55%
Draw 23.73%
Toluca 52.71%
Queretaro
1-0 @ 7.15%
2-1 @ 5.9% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.72% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.96% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.48%
3-2 @ 1.48% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 23.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.18%
0-0 @ 7.28%
2-2 @ 4.52%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.73%
Toluca
0-1 @ 11.01%
1-2 @ 9.9%
0-2 @ 9.55% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 5.29%
1-3 @ 5.03%
2-3 @ 2.76%
Other @ 9.17% (+0.01)
Total : 52.71%

Head to Head

Liga MX Gameweek 13
Apr 5, 2026 12.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio La Corregidora
  • Francisco Venegas 62' yellowcard
  • Alí Ávila 76' goal
  • B. Parra 85' yellowcard
  • Carlos Villanueva 85' yellowcard
  • Juan Robles 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Lucas Rodríguez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jesús Gallardo 58'
  • yellowcard Alexis Vega 58'
  • yellowcard Alexis Vega 59'
  • yellowcard Sebastián Córdova 72'
  • yellowcard Santiago Simón 79'
  • yellowcard Franco Rossi 79'
Liga MX
Oct 19, 2025 12.00am
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Liga MX Gameweek 9
Feb 27, 2025 3.00am
5
0
HT : 8 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Luan Garcia 25' goal
  • Luan Garcia 25' goal
  • Paulinho 31' goal
  • Paulinho 31' goal
  • Isaias Violante 37' goal
  • Isaias Violante 37' goal
  • Alexis Vega 43' goal
  • Alexis Vega 43' goal
  • Robert Morales 89' goal
  • Robert Morales 89' goal
  • yellowcard Erick Fernando Gonzalez Garcia 40'
  • yellowcard Erick Fernando Gonzalez Garcia 40'
  • yellowcard Jaime Gomez 58'
  • yellowcard Jaime Gomez 58'
  • yellowcard Francisco Venegas 82'
  • yellowcard Francisco Venegas 82'
Liga MX Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 2.00am
0
1
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio La Corregidora
  • Lucas Rodriguez 15' goal
  • Sebastian Hernandez 55' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Hernandez 55' yellowcard
  • Pablo Nicolas Ortiz 84' yellowcard
  • Pablo Nicolas Ortiz 84' yellowcard
  • goal Paulinho 45'+3'
  • goal Paulinho 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Luan Garcia 59'
  • yellowcard Luan Garcia 59'
Liga MX Gameweek 1
Jan 13, 2024 1.00am
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio La Corregidora
  • Emanuel Gularte 7' goal
  • Emanuel Gularte 7' goal
  • Miguel Barbieri 33' yellowcard
  • Miguel Barbieri 33' yellowcard
  • Pablo Nicolas Ortiz 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Pablo Nicolas Ortiz 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Pablo Nicolas Ortiz 56' goal
  • Pablo Nicolas Ortiz 56' goal
  • Guillermo Allison 87' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Allison 87' yellowcard
  • goal Edgar Lopez 66'
  • goal Edgar Lopez 66'
  • yellowcard Edgar Lopez 73'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Araujo 73'
  • yellowcard Edgar Lopez 73'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Araujo 73'
  • goal Federico Pereira 90'+6'
  • goal Federico Pereira 90'+6'
Liga MX Gameweek 12
Oct 8, 2023 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Edgar Lopez 2' goal
  • Tiago Volpi 58' goal
  • Edgar Lopez 66' goal
  • yellowcard Emanuel Gularte 36'
  • goal Camilo Sanvezzo 40'
  • yellowcard Pablo Barrera 61'
  • yellowcard Kevin Escamilla 76'