Liga MX
May 23, 2025 3.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Azteca
  • Sebastian Caceres 29' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Caceres 29' yellowcard
  • Victor Davila 48' yellowcard
  • Victor Davila 48' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luan Garcia 11'
  • yellowcard Luan Garcia 11'
  • yellowcard Federico Pereira 55'
  • yellowcard Federico Pereira 55'

Club America vs Toluca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Club America

All competitions
Last game
May 19, 2025 2.15am
America 2 - 1 Cruz Azul
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Rodrigo Aguirre

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
May 18, 2025 2.00am
Toluca 3 - 0 Tigres
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Paulinho

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 49.3%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result

Club America 49.3% (-7.92)
Draw 25.16% (+2.18)
Toluca 25.53% (+5.74)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.84% (+0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.06% (-3.03)
Under 2.5 50.93% (+3.02)
Over 3.5 27.19% (-2.72)
Under 3.5 72.8% (+2.72)
Over 4.5 12.77% (-1.84)
Under 4.5 87.22% (+1.84)

Club America Goals

Over 0.5 79.32% (-4.18)
Under 0.5 20.67% (+4.18)
Over 1.5 46.74% (-7.04)
Under 1.5 53.26% (+7.03)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 65.35% (+3.73)
Under 0.5 34.64% (-3.74)
Over 1.5 28.63% (+3.76)
Under 1.5 71.37% (-3.77)

Score analysis

Club America 49.3%
Draw 25.15%
Toluca 25.53%
Club America
1-0 @ 11.28% (-0.13)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.42)
2-0 @ 8.9% (-1.38)
3-1 @ 4.96% (-0.96)
3-0 @ 4.68% (-1.50)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.21)
4-1 @ 1.95% (-0.71)
4-0 @ 1.84% (-0.94)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.24)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 49.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.96% (+1.05)
0-0 @ 7.16% (+0.83)
2-2 @ 5% (+0.29)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 25.15%
Toluca
0-1 @ 7.59% (+1.53)
1-2 @ 6.34% (+1.12)
0-2 @ 4.02% (+1.13)
1-3 @ 2.24% (+0.58)
2-3 @ 1.77% (+0.27)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-91.28)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 25.53%

Head to Head

Liga MX Gameweek 10
Mar 1, 2025 11.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Azteca
  • Alvaro Fidalgo 6' goal
  • Brian Rodriguez 16' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Zendejas 51' goal
  • Ramon Juarez 57' yellowcard
  • Cristian Borja 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Paulinho 57'
Liga MX
Nov 30, 2024 11.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Federico Pereira 80' yellowcard
  • Federico Pereira 84' redcard
  • Helinho 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal 0'
  • goal 0'
  • yellowcard Ramon Juarez 29'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Aguirre 32'
  • goal Marcel Ruiz 49' (OG)
  • goal Henry Martin 72'
Liga MX
Nov 28, 2024 1.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Azteca
  • <TBD> 29' goal
  • Rodrigo Aguirre 67' goal
  • Rodrigo Aguirre 67' goal
  • Rodrigo Aguirre 82' goal
  • Rodrigo Aguirre 82' goal
  • yellowcard Isaias Violante 21'
  • yellowcard Isaias Violante 21'
Liga MX Gameweek 17
Nov 10, 2024 1.00am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Jesus Gallardo 9' goal
  • Jesus Gallardo 9' goal
  • Claudio Baeza 35' yellowcard
  • Claudio Baeza 35' yellowcard
  • Jesus Angulo 58' goal
  • Jesus Angulo 58' goal
  • Paulinho 72' goal
  • Paulinho 72' goal
  • Luan Garcia 77' goal
  • Luan Garcia 77' goal
Liga MX Gameweek 15
Apr 14, 2024 2.05am
5
1
HT : 6 2
FT Estadio Azteca
  • Diego Valdes 9' goal
  • Diego Valdes 9' goal
  • Henry Martin 15' goal
  • Henry Martin 15' goal
  • Cristian Calderon 19' yellowcard
  • Cristian Calderon 19' yellowcard
  • Diego Valdes 24' goal
  • Diego Valdes 24' goal
  • Igor Lichnovsky 50' yellowcard
  • Igor Lichnovsky 50' yellowcard
  • Julian Quinones 73' goal
  • Julian Quinones 73' goal
  • Julian Quinones 82' goal
  • Julian Quinones 82' goal
  • Alvaro Fidalgo 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Julian Quinones 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Fidalgo 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Julian Quinones 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Juan Dominguez 14'
  • goal Juan Dominguez 14'
  • yellowcard Juan Escobar 49'
  • yellowcard Juan Escobar 49'
  • yellowcard Marcel Ruiz 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Marcel Ruiz 90'+2'
Liga MX Gameweek 9
Sep 24, 2023 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Valber Huerta 44' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Araujo 54' goal
  • Tomas Belmonte 84' redcard
  • goal Diego Valdes 25'