Liga MX
Toluca
May 18, 2025 2.00am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
Tigres
  • Paulinho 14' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 14' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vega 18' goal
  • Alexis Vega 18' goal
  • Juan Dominguez 37' yellowcard
  • Juan Dominguez 37' yellowcard
  • Jesus Gallardo 61' yellowcard
  • Jesus Gallardo 61' yellowcard
  • Edgar Lopez 79' goal
  • Edgar Lopez 79' goal
  • Alexis Vega 82' goal
  • Alexis Vega 82' goal
  • yellowcard Joaquim 16'
  • yellowcard Joaquim 16'
  • yellowcard Juan Sanchez 26'
  • yellowcard Juan Sanchez 26'

Toluca vs Tigres - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
May 15, 2025 4.00am
Tigres 1 - 1 Toluca
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Paulinho

Tigres

All competitions
Last game
May 15, 2025 4.00am
Tigres 1 - 1 Toluca
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Juan Brunetta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Tigres had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Tigres win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result

Toluca 42.07% ▼ (-1.57)
Draw 25.5% ▲ (+0.27)
Tigres 32.42% ▲ (+1.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.11% ▼ (-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.31% ▼ (-0.67)
Under 2.5 48.69% ▲ (+0.67)
Over 3.5 29.2% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 3.5 70.8% ▲ (+0.61)
Over 4.5 14.12% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 4.5 85.88% ▲ (+0.42)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 76.99% ▼ (-1.04)
Under 0.5 23.01% ▲ (+1.04)
Over 1.5 43.18% ▼ (-1.54)
Under 1.5 56.82% ▲ (+1.54)

Tigres Goals

Over 0.5 71.59% ▲ (+0.53)
Under 0.5 28.41% ▼ (-0.53)
Over 1.5 35.84% ▲ (+0.67)
Under 1.5 64.16% ▼ (-0.67)

Score analysis

Toluca 42.07%
Draw 25.5%
Tigres 32.42%
Toluca
1-0 @ 9.61% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.88% ▼ (-0.18)
2-0 @ 7.06% ▼ (-0.25)
3-1 @ 4.35% ▼ (-0.23)
3-0 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.24)
3-2 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.10)
4-1 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.14)
4-0 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.13)
4-2 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 42.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.08% ▲ (+0.14)
0-0 @ 6.54% ▲ (+0.18)
2-2 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.5%
Tigres
0-1 @ 8.23% ▲ (+0.34)
1-2 @ 7.61% ▲ (+0.20)
0-2 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.29)
1-3 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.13)
2-3 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.16)
1-4 @ 1% ▼ (-93.90)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 32.42%

Head to Head

Liga MX
Tigres
May 15, 2025 4.00am
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Universitario de Nuevo Leon
Toluca
  • Nicolas Ibanez 19' goal
  • Nicolas Ibanez 19' goal
  • Jesus Angulo 89' yellowcard
  • Jesus Angulo 89' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Guzman 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Guzman 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Paulinho 45'+1'
  • goal Paulinho 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Juan Dominguez 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Juan Dominguez 90'+3'
Liga MX Gameweek 5
Toluca
Feb 2, 2025 3.15am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
Tigres
  • Federico Pereira 31' yellowcard
  • Federico Pereira 31' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vega 33' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vega 33' yellowcard
  • Franco Romero 37' yellowcard
  • Franco Romero 37' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 90'+1' goal
  • Paulinho 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Guido Pizarro 22'
  • yellowcard Guido Pizarro 22'
  • yellowcard Javier Aquino 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Javier Aquino 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Diego Lainez 90'+9'
  • yellowcard Jose Garcia 90'+9'
  • yellowcard Diego Lainez 90'+9'
  • yellowcard Jose Garcia 90'+9'
Liga MX Gameweek 16
Tigres
Nov 7, 2024 1.00am
2
1
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio Universitario de Nuevo Leon
Toluca
  • 1' goal
  • Andre-Pierre Gignac 4' goal
  • Andre-Pierre Gignac 4' goal
  • Juan Brunetta 57' goal
  • Juan Brunetta 57' goal
  • yellowcard Isaias Violante 54'
  • yellowcard Isaias Violante 54'
  • goal Jesus Gallardo 79'
  • goal Jesus Gallardo 79'
Liga MX Gameweek 10
Toluca
Mar 2, 2024 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
Tigres
  • Alexis Vega 52' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vega 54' goal
  • Tiago Volpi 71' goal
  • Edgar Lopez 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Jonathan Herrera 35'
  • redcard Sebastian Cordova 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Guido Pizarro 52'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Guzman 56'
  • yellowcard Juan Sanchez 68'
Liga MX Gameweek 11
Tigres
Oct 5, 2023 4.00am
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Universitario de Nuevo Leon
Toluca
  • Andre-Pierre Gignac 48' yellowcard
  • Andre-Pierre Gignac 48' yellowcard
  • Jesus Angulo 45'+5' goal
  • Jesus Angulo 45'+5' goal
  • Rafael Carioca 63' yellowcard
  • Rafael Carioca 63' yellowcard
  • Jesus Angulo 68' yellowcard
  • Jesus Angulo 68' yellowcard
  • Andre-Pierre Gignac 76' goal
  • Andre-Pierre Gignac 76' goal
  • Jonathan Herrera 90'+9' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Flores 90'+9' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Herrera 90'+9' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Flores 90'+9' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jean Meneses 24'
  • yellowcard Jean Meneses 24'
  • goal Marcel Ruiz 44'
  • goal Marcel Ruiz 44'
  • redcard Jean Meneses 45'+2'
  • redcard Jean Meneses 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Isais 59'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Isais 59'
  • yellowcard Robert Morales 77'
  • yellowcard Robert Morales 77'
  • yellowcard Marcel Ruiz 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Marcel Ruiz 90'+2'
  • goal Robert Morales 90'+4'
  • goal Robert Morales 90'+4'
Liga MX
Toluca
May 14, 2023 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Tigres
  • Edgar Lopez 26' goal
  • Marcel Ruiz 45'+3' goal
  • Edgar Lopez 53' goal
  • goal Sebastian Cordova 71'

Form Data

Tigres 1 - 1 Toluca
Toluca 2 - 1 Monterrey
Monterrey 3 - 2 Toluca
Toluca 2 - 2 Cruz Azul
Atletico San Luis 0 - 1 Toluca
Atlas 2 - 3 Toluca
Tigres 1 - 1 Toluca
Tigres 2 - 2 Necaxa
Necaxa 0 - 0 Tigres
Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Tigres
Tigres 1 - 1 Cruz Azul
Tigres 2 - 1 Pumas