Liga MX
May 8, 2025 2.00am
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio BBVA Bancomer
  • Nelson Deossa 44' goal
  • Nelson Deossa 44' goal
  • Sergio Canales 50' goal
  • Sergio Canales 50' goal
  • Nelson Deossa 56' yellowcard
  • Nelson Deossa 56' yellowcard
  • German Berterame 69' goal
  • German Berterame 69' goal
  • Iker Jareth Fimbres Ochoa 82' yellowcard
  • Iker Jareth Fimbres Ochoa 82' yellowcard
  • goal Victor Guzman 17' (OG)
  • goal Victor Guzman 17' (OG)
  • yellowcard Marcel Ruiz 56'
  • yellowcard Marcel Ruiz 56'
  • goal Luan Garcia 82'
  • goal Luan Garcia 82'
  • yellowcard Paulinho 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Paulinho 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Paulinho 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Paulinho 90'+3'

Monterrey vs Toluca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Monterrey

All competitions
Last game
May 5, 2025 2.30am
Monterrey 2 - 0 Pumas
Goals scored
79
Top scorer
German Berterame

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
Apr 20, 2025 2.05am
Toluca 2 - 2 Cruz Azul
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Paulinho

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.

Result

Monterrey 46.31%
Draw 24.36%
Toluca 29.33%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.43%

Goals

Over 2.5 55.02%
Under 2.5 44.97%
Over 3.5 32.67%
Under 3.5 67.33%
Over 4.5 16.56%
Under 4.5 83.44%

Monterrey Goals

Over 0.5 80.45%
Under 0.5 19.54%
Over 1.5 48.55%
Under 1.5 51.45%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 71.38%
Under 0.5 28.62%
Over 1.5 35.58%
Under 1.5 64.42%

Score analysis

Monterrey 46.31%
Draw 24.35%
Toluca 29.33%
Monterrey
2-1 @ 9.33%
1-0 @ 9.13%
2-0 @ 7.45%
3-1 @ 5.07%
3-0 @ 4.06%
3-2 @ 3.18%
4-1 @ 2.07%
4-0 @ 1.66%
4-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 46.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.42%
2-2 @ 5.83%
0-0 @ 5.59%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.35%
Toluca
1-2 @ 7.15%
0-1 @ 7%
0-2 @ 4.38%
1-3 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 29.33%

Head to Head

Liga MX Gameweek 2
Jan 19, 2025 1.00am
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Helinho 11' goal
  • Helinho 11' goal
  • Diego Barbosa 83' yellowcard
  • Diego Barbosa 83' yellowcard
  • goal Sergio Canales 47'
  • goal Sergio Canales 47'
  • yellowcard Hector Moreno 66'
  • yellowcard Hector Moreno 66'
Liga MX Gameweek 6
Sep 1, 2024 2.00am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio BBVA Bancomer
  • Brandon Vazquez 54' goal
  • Brandon Vazquez 54' goal
  • Stefan Medina 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Stefan Medina 90'+8' yellowcard
  • German Berterame 90'+11' yellowcard
  • German Berterame 90'+11' yellowcard
  • goal Jesus Gallardo 6'
  • goal Jesus Gallardo 6'
  • yellowcard Marcel Ruiz 59'
  • yellowcard Marcel Ruiz 59'
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 80'
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 80'
  • goal Isaias Violante 87'
  • goal Isaias Violante 87'
  • yellowcard Tiago Volpi 90'+11'
  • yellowcard Tiago Volpi 90'+11'
Liga MX Gameweek 7
Feb 19, 2024 2.10am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio BBVA Bancomer
  • German Berterame 90'+1' goal
  • Luis Romo 90'+8' goal
  • yellowcard Brian Garcia 71'
  • yellowcard Brian Garcia 71'
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 80'
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 80'
Liga MX Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2023 2.00am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Brian Garcia 9' yellowcard
  • Brian Garcia 9' yellowcard
  • Juan Dominguez 26' goal
  • Juan Dominguez 26' goal
  • yellowcard Sebastian Vegas 30'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Vegas 31'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Meza 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Meza 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Jesus Gallardo 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Jesus Gallardo 90'+6'
Liga MX Gameweek 5
Feb 6, 2023 1.10am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio BBVA Bancomer
  • Alfonso Gonzalez 17' goal
  • Alfonso Gonzalez 31' goal
  • goal Maximiliano Araujo 62'
Liga MX Gameweek 9
Aug 18, 2022 1.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Leonardo Fernandez 27' goal
  • Leonardo Fernandez 38' yellowcard
  • Haret Ortega 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Vegas 23'
  • yellowcard Jacobo Reyes Murillo 31'
  • yellowcard Jacobo Reyes 31'
  • goal Rodrigo Aguirre 71'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Meza 73'