Liga MX
May 5, 2025 at 2.30am UK
Estadio BBVA Bancomer

Monterrey
2 - 0
Pumas

Berterame (58', 58'), Deossa (89', 89')
Rodriguez (37'), Rodriguez (37'), Reyes (41'), Reyes (41'), Arteaga (90+2'), Arteaga (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ruvalcaba (69'), Ruvalcaba (69'), Silva (90+3'), Funes Mori (90+1'), Silva (90+3'), Funes Mori (90+1')
Ruvalcaba (76'), Ruvalcaba (76')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Monterrey and Pumas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monterrey 1-2 Pachuca
Monday, April 28 at 2.30am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 60.96%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Pumas had a probability of 18.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Pumas win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.

Result
MonterreyDrawPumas
60.96% (0.716 0.72)21% (-0.259 -0.26)18.04% (-0.45 -0.45)
Both teams to score 54.83% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.12% (0.445 0.45)41.89% (-0.437 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.71% (0.445 0.45)64.29% (-0.437 -0.44)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.72% (0.358 0.36)13.28% (-0.35 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.91% (0.71299999999999 0.71)40.09% (-0.705 -0.7)
Pumas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.23% (-0.237 -0.24)36.77% (0.246 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.44% (-0.241 -0.24)73.56% (0.24900000000001 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Monterrey 60.96%
    Pumas 18.04%
    Draw 21%
MonterreyDrawPumas
2-1 @ 9.96%
2-0 @ 9.95% (0.065 0.06)
1-0 @ 9.86% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.7% (0.087 0.09)
3-0 @ 6.7% (0.13 0.13)
4-1 @ 3.38% (0.087 0.09)
4-0 @ 3.38% (0.109 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.35% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.033 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.37% (0.053 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.37% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 60.96%
1-1 @ 9.86% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.88% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21%
1-2 @ 4.93% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-1 @ 4.89% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-2 @ 2.44% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.65% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 18.04%

Head to Head
Mar 17, 2025 12am
Gameweek 12
Pumas
1-3
Monterrey
Martinez (90' pen.)
Pussetto (52')
Canales (49' pen.), Jareth Fimbres Ochoa (54'), Berterame (71')
Aguirre (21'), Ocampos (42')
Ramos (90+2')
Dec 1, 2024 6pm
Pumas
3-5
Monterrey
Martinez (36', 88'), Pussetto (66')
Silva (6'), Lema (7'), Martinez (64'), Duarte (90+8'), Caicedo (90+8')
Berterame (31', 74'), Ocampos (55'), Arteaga (77'), Torres (90')
Rodriguez (89'), Aguirre (90+6'), Vazquez (90+6')
Nov 29, 2024 3.10am
Monterrey
1-0
Pumas
Canales (90' pen.)
Torres (37'), Medina (70')

Silva (53'), Duarte (75'), Alfonso Monroy Reyes (81'), Ergas (87'), Martinez (89')
Oct 24, 2024 2am
Gameweek 13
Monterrey
0-0
Pumas
Aug 4, 2024 3am
Group Stage
Monterrey
1-1
Pumas
(Aggregate 1-1 | Pumas win 3-0 on penalties)
Corona (53')
Meza (32'), Vazquez (77')
Funes Mori (80')
Magallan (83')
rhs 2.0


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