Liga MX
Apr 28, 2025 at 1am UK
Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez

Juarez
1 - 1
Pumas

Madson (20', 20')
Murillo (35'), Murillo (35'), Madson (45+8'), Madson (45+8')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Martinez (16', 16')
Alfonso Monroy Reyes (15'), Alfonso Monroy Reyes (15'), Martinez (19'), Martinez (19'), Ruvalcaba (68'), Ruvalcaba (68'), Padilla Perez (86'), Padilla Perez (86')
Martinez (35'), Martinez (35')
Pumas win 2-1 on penalties
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Juarez and Pumas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juarez

All competitions
Last Game: Juarez 0-2 Queretaro
Monday, April 21 at 4am in Liga MX

Pumas

All competitions
Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 2-1 Pumas
Sunday, April 20 at 4am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
JuarezDrawPumas
33.5% (0.0040000000000049 0)26.03% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)40.46% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.32% (0.0019999999999953 0)50.68% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.41% (0.0020000000000024 0)72.58% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.3% (0.0019999999999953 0)28.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.47% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)64.52% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Pumas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.29% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)24.7% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)59.24% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Juarez 33.5%
    Pumas 40.46%
    Draw 26.03%
JuarezDrawPumas
1-0 @ 8.85% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 7.72% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 5.52% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 33.5%
1-1 @ 12.37%
0-0 @ 7.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.03%
0-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 8.65% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.93% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 4.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 3.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.52%
1-4 @ 1.41%
0-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 40.46%

Head to Head
Apr 13, 2025 12am
Gameweek 15
Pumas
0-0
Juarez
Ergas (64')
Madson (68'), Estupinan (88')
Jul 18, 2024 2.06am
Gameweek 3
Juarez
1-2
Pumas
Campillo (32')
Calvo (45'), Edson (45+3'), Mosquera (51'), Villalpando (75')
Jesus Rico Reyes (66'), Lopez (80')
Rivas (34'), Silva (37'), Caicedo (51')
> Preview
Jan 14, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 1
Pumas
1-0
Juarez
Salvio (69')
Salvio (70')
Silva (81')

Abella (36'), Hurtado (44'), Garcia (45')
Aug 23, 2023 4.06am
Gameweek 5
Juarez
4-1
Pumas
Ormeno (12' pen.), Campillo Del Campo (33'), Garcia (39'), Hurtado (81' pen.)
Salas (30'), Rodriguez (36'), Talavera (58'), Nevarez (90+5')
Huerta (57')
Aldrete (24'), Alfonso Monroy Reyes (28')
Jan 8, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 1
Pumas
2-1
Juarez
Salvio (77'), Dinenno (87' pen.)
Medina (30')