Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 63.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 16.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Santos Laguna win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.