Liga MX
Tigres
May 15, 2025 4.00am
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Universitario de Nuevo Leon
Toluca
  • Nicolas Ibanez 19' goal
  • Nicolas Ibanez 19' goal
  • Jesus Angulo 89' yellowcard
  • Jesus Angulo 89' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Guzman 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Guzman 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Paulinho 45'+1'
  • goal Paulinho 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Juan Dominguez 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Juan Dominguez 90'+3'

Tigres vs Toluca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tigres

All competitions
Last game
May 12, 2025 4.10am
Tigres 2 - 2 Necaxa
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Juan Brunetta

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
May 11, 2025 2.00am
Toluca 2 - 1 Monterrey
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Paulinho

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 52.2%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 24.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result

Tigres 52.2% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 23.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Toluca 24.32% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.99% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.13% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 44.87% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 32.77% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 67.23% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 4.5 16.63% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 83.37% ▲ (+0.02)

Tigres Goals

Over 0.5 82.81% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 17.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 52.54% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 47.46% ▲ (+0.04)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 67.61% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 32.39% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 31.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 68.9% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Tigres 52.2%
Draw 23.48%
Toluca 24.32%
Tigres
1-0 @ 9.8% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.73% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.63% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 52.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.05% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.57% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.49%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.48%
Toluca
0-1 @ 6.28% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.23% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.54% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.06%
0-3 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 24.32%

Head to Head

Liga MX Gameweek 5
Toluca
Feb 2, 2025 3.15am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
Tigres
  • Federico Pereira 31' yellowcard
  • Federico Pereira 31' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vega 33' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vega 33' yellowcard
  • Franco Romero 37' yellowcard
  • Franco Romero 37' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 90'+1' goal
  • Paulinho 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Guido Pizarro 22'
  • yellowcard Guido Pizarro 22'
  • yellowcard Javier Aquino 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Javier Aquino 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Diego Lainez 90'+9'
  • yellowcard Jose Garcia 90'+9'
  • yellowcard Diego Lainez 90'+9'
  • yellowcard Jose Garcia 90'+9'
Liga MX Gameweek 16
Tigres
Nov 7, 2024 1.00am
2
1
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio Universitario de Nuevo Leon
Toluca
  • 1' goal
  • Andre-Pierre Gignac 4' goal
  • Andre-Pierre Gignac 4' goal
  • Juan Brunetta 57' goal
  • Juan Brunetta 57' goal
  • yellowcard Isaias Violante 54'
  • yellowcard Isaias Violante 54'
  • goal Jesus Gallardo 79'
  • goal Jesus Gallardo 79'
Liga MX Gameweek 10
Toluca
Mar 2, 2024 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
Tigres
  • Alexis Vega 52' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vega 54' goal
  • Tiago Volpi 71' goal
  • Edgar Lopez 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Jonathan Herrera 35'
  • redcard Sebastian Cordova 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Guido Pizarro 52'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Guzman 56'
  • yellowcard Juan Sanchez 68'
Liga MX Gameweek 11
Tigres
Oct 5, 2023 4.00am
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Universitario de Nuevo Leon
Toluca
  • Andre-Pierre Gignac 48' yellowcard
  • Andre-Pierre Gignac 48' yellowcard
  • Jesus Angulo 45'+5' goal
  • Jesus Angulo 45'+5' goal
  • Rafael Carioca 63' yellowcard
  • Rafael Carioca 63' yellowcard
  • Jesus Angulo 68' yellowcard
  • Jesus Angulo 68' yellowcard
  • Andre-Pierre Gignac 76' goal
  • Andre-Pierre Gignac 76' goal
  • Jonathan Herrera 90'+9' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Flores 90'+9' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Herrera 90'+9' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Flores 90'+9' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jean Meneses 24'
  • yellowcard Jean Meneses 24'
  • goal Marcel Ruiz 44'
  • goal Marcel Ruiz 44'
  • redcard Jean Meneses 45'+2'
  • redcard Jean Meneses 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Isais 59'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Isais 59'
  • yellowcard Robert Morales 77'
  • yellowcard Robert Morales 77'
  • yellowcard Marcel Ruiz 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Marcel Ruiz 90'+2'
  • goal Robert Morales 90'+4'
  • goal Robert Morales 90'+4'
Liga MX
Toluca
May 14, 2023 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Tigres
  • Edgar Lopez 26' goal
  • Marcel Ruiz 45'+3' goal
  • Edgar Lopez 53' goal
  • goal Sebastian Cordova 71'
Liga MX
Tigres
May 12, 2023 4.10am
4
1
HT : 3 1
FT
Toluca
  • Sebastian Cordova 14' goal
  • Andre-Pierre Gignac 31' goal
  • Juan Vigon 45'+5' goal
  • Nicolas Lopez 72' goal
  • goal Leonardo Fernandez 8'

Form Data

Tigres 2 - 2 Necaxa
Necaxa 0 - 0 Tigres
Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Tigres
Tigres 1 - 1 Cruz Azul
Tigres 2 - 1 Pumas
Pachuca 0 - 0 Tigres
Toluca 2 - 1 Monterrey
Monterrey 3 - 2 Toluca
Toluca 2 - 2 Cruz Azul
Atletico San Luis 0 - 1 Toluca
Atlas 2 - 3 Toluca
Toluca 2 - 1 Santos Laguna