Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 51.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 23.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.