Champions League
Dec 10, 2024 8.00pm
1
5
HT : 1 2
FT VELTINS-Arena
  • Kevin 5' goal
  • Dmytro Kryskiv 55' yellowcard
  • Lassina Traore 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leroy Sane 7'
  • goal Konrad Laimer 11'
  • goal Thomas Muller 45'
  • goal Michael Olise 70'
  • yellowcard Leon Goretzka 82'
  • goal Jamal Musiala 87'
  • goal Michael Olise 90'+3'

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Bayern Munich - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Nov 27, 2024 8.00pm
PSV 3 - 2 Shakhtar

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Nov 26, 2024 8.00pm
Bayern 1 - 0 PSG

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result

Shakhtar Donetsk 33.76% (+0.01)
Draw 23.71% (+0.01)
Bayern Munich 42.53% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.9% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.96% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 40.04% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 37.59% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 62.41% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 20.24% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 79.76% (+0.03)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5 76.55% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 23.45% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 42.54% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 57.46% (+0.02)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 80.86% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 19.14% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 49.21% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 50.79% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk 33.76%
Draw 23.71%
Bayern Munich 42.53%
Shakhtar Donetsk
2-1 @ 7.81% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.51% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.72% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.77% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 33.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.76% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.45% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.49% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.72% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.71%
Bayern Munich
1-2 @ 8.9%
0-1 @ 7.42% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.14% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.9% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.56% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.38%
1-4 @ 2.03% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.47% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.4% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 42.53%

Head to Head

Champions League
Mar 11, 2015 7.45pm
7
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Thomas Muller 4' goal
  • Holger Badstuber 26' yellowcard
  • Jerome Boateng 34' goal
  • Jerome Boateng 38' yellowcard
  • Franck Ribery 49' goal
  • Thomas Muller 51' goal
  • Holger Badstuber 63' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 75' goal
  • Mario Gotze 87' goal
  • redcard Oleksandr Kucher 3'
  • yellowcard Douglas Costa 38'
Champions League
Feb 17, 2015 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Darijo Srna 38' yellowcard
  • Douglas Costa 58' yellowcard
  • Fred 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rafinha 23'
  • yellowcard Xabi Alonso 24'
  • redcard Xabi Alonso 65'
  • yellowcard Jerome Boateng 80'
  • yellowcard Bastian Schweinsteiger 84'