Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 16
River Plate
May 5, 2025 12.30am
4
1
HT : 6 2
FT Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
Velez Sarsfield
  • Sebastian Driussi 14' goal
  • Sebastian Driussi 14' goal
  • Facundo Colidio 28' goal
  • Facundo Colidio 28' goal
  • Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 30' yellowcard
  • Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 30' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Fernandez 33' goal
  • Ignacio Fernandez 33' goal
  • Giuliano Galoppo 59' yellowcard
  • Giuliano Galoppo 59' yellowcard
  • Kevin Castano 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Kevin Castano 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Miguel Borja 90'+10' goal
  • Miguel Borja 90'+10' goal
  • yellowcard Thiago Ariel Silvero 32'
  • yellowcard Thiago Ariel Silvero 32'
  • goal Maher Mauricio Carrizo 37'
  • goal Maher Mauricio Carrizo 37'
  • yellowcard Kevin Vazquez 43'
  • yellowcard Kevin Vazquez 43'
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 78'
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 78'
  • yellowcard Valentin Gomez 90'+5'
  • redcard Valentin Gomez 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Valentin Gomez 90'+5'
  • redcard Valentin Gomez 90'+5'

River Plate vs Velez Sarsfield - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Apr 27, 2025 7.30pm
River Plate 2 - 1 Boca Juniors
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Miguel Borja

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Apr 29, 2025 1.45am
Velez Sarsfield 1 - 0 Gimnasia
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Braian Romero

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 59.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 16.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.2%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result

River Plate 59.57% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 23.72% ▲ (+0.03)
Velez Sarsfield 16.7% ▲ (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.94% ▲ (+0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.89% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 55.11% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 23.64% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 76.36% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 4.5 10.51% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 89.49% ▼ (-0.02)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5 81.74% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 18.26% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 50.69% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 49.3% ▲ (+0.05)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5 53.75% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 0.5 46.25% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 1.5 18.09% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 81.91% ▼ (-0.10)

Score analysis

River Plate 59.56%
Draw 23.72%
Velez Sarsfield 16.7%
River Plate
1-0 @ 14.35% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 12.2% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.42% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.92% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.34% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 59.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.07% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.44% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.63% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 23.72%
Velez Sarsfield
0-1 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 16.7%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 18
River Plate
Oct 19, 2024 1.00am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
Velez Sarsfield
  • Miguel Borja 49' goal
  • Miguel Borja 49' goal
  • German Pezzella 66' yellowcard
  • German Pezzella 66' yellowcard
  • goal Braian Romero 26'
  • goal Braian Romero 26'
  • yellowcard Agustin Bouzat 45'
  • yellowcard Agustin Bouzat 45'
  • yellowcard Randall Jonas Rodriguez Lucas 86'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 3
River Plate
Feb 4, 2024 10.15pm
5
0
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
Velez Sarsfield
  • Facundo Colidio 6' goal
  • Miguel Borja 20' goal
  • Miguel Borja 31' goal
  • Facundo Colidio 45' goal
  • Rodrigo Aliendro 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Miguel Borja 55' goal
  • yellowcard Valentin Gomez 27'
  • yellowcard Jose Florentin 53'
  • yellowcard Agustin Bouzat 65'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 3
Velez Sarsfield
Sep 3, 2023 1.30am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jose Amalfitani
River Plate
  • Claudio Aquino 22' goal
  • Santiago Castro 60' goal
  • Elias Gomez 82' yellowcard
  • Braian Romero 86' yellowcard
  • Jose Florentin 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Yeison Gordillo 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Enzo Perez 49'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 18
Velez Sarsfield
May 30, 2023 1.30am
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio José Amalfitani
River Plate
  • Lucas Pratto 52' goal
  • Lucas Pratto 52' goal
  • Francisco Ortega 86' goal
  • Francisco Ortega 86' goal
  • goal Robert Rojas 26'
  • goal Robert Rojas 26'
  • goal Lucas Beltran 82'
  • goal Lucas Beltran 82'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 8
Velez Sarsfield
Jul 18, 2022 12.30am
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio José Amalfitani
River Plate
  • Walter Bou 20' goal
  • Maximo Perrone 59' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Garayalde 63' yellowcard
  • Valentin Gomez 89' yellowcard
  • Santiago Caseres 90' yellowcard
  • Matias de los Santos 90' yellowcard
  • Abiel Osorio 90'+3' goal
  • Abiel Osorio 90'+4' goal
  • goal Lucas Beltran 7'
  • yellowcard Elias Gomez 16'
  • yellowcard Santiago Simon 25'
  • goal Nicolas de la Cruz 30'
  • yellowcard Bruno Zuculini 84'
  • yellowcard Milton Casco 87'
  • yellowcard Juan Quintero 90'
Copa Libertadores
River Plate
Jul 7, 2022 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
Velez Sarsfield
  • Braian Romero 53' yellowcard
  • Emanuel Mammana 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Julian Alvarez 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Garayalde 33'
  • yellowcard Lucas Hoyos 51'

Form Data

River Plate 2 - 1 Boca Juniors
Independiente 2 - 2 River Plate
Gimnasia 0 - 3 River Plate
River Plate 1 - 1 Talleres
River Plate 0 - 0 Barcelona
Sarmiento 1 - 1 River Plate
Velez Sarsfield 1 - 0 Gimnasia
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2 - 1 Velez Sarsfield
Talleres 0 - 1 Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield 0 - 1 Sarmiento
Olimpia 0 - 4 Velez Sarsfield
Rosario 2 - 1 Velez Sarsfield