Eredivisie Gameweek 25
PSV
Mar 8, 2025 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Philips Stadion
Heerenveen
  • Ismael Saibari 40' goal
  • Richard Ledezma 54' yellowcard
  • Guus Til 57' goal
  • Ivan Perisic 85' yellowcard
  • goal Levi Smans 72'
  • yellowcard Alireza Jahanbakhsh 83'

PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2025 5.45pm
Go Ahead Eagles 3 - 2 PSV
Goals scored
103
Top scorer
Luuk de Jong

Heerenveen

All competitions
Last game
Mar 2, 2025 11.15am
Heerenveen 3 - 1 AZ
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Ion Nicolaescu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 64.39%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 18.47% and a draw had a probability of 17.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.55%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (4.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.

Result

PSV Eindhoven 64.39% ▼ (-0.24)
Draw 17.14% ▲ (+0.13)
Heerenveen 18.47% ▲ (+0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

70.79% ▼ (-0.30)

Goals

Over 2.5 77.85% ▼ (-0.44)
Under 2.5 22.15% ▲ (+0.44)
Over 3.5 58.9% ▼ (-0.60)
Under 3.5 41.1% ▲ (+0.60)
Over 4.5 39.39% ▼ (-0.62)
Under 4.5 60.61% ▲ (+0.62)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5 93.22% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 0.5 6.77% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 1.5 74.99% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 1.5 25.01% ▲ (+0.43)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5 75.93% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 0.5 24.06% ▲ (+0.20)
Over 1.5 41.65% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 1.5 58.35% ▲ (+0.28)

Score analysis

PSV Eindhoven 64.39%
Draw 17.14%
Heerenveen 18.47%
PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 8.41% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 7.55% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.91% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 5.3% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.05)
1-0 @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.10)
4-2 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.05)
5-2 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.05)
5-0 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.03)
4-3 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.04)
6-1 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 5.62%
Total : 64.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 17.14%
Heerenveen
1-2 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.04)
2-4 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 18.47%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 16
Heerenveen
Dec 14, 2024 5.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
PSV
  • Ion Nicolaescu 73' goal
Eredivisie Gameweek 31
Heerenveen
Apr 25, 2024 5.45pm
0
8
HT : 0 5
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
PSV
  • goal Guus Til 7'
  • goal Malik Tillman 9'
  • goal Malik Tillman 11'
  • goal Guus Til 30'
  • goal Joey Veerman 44'
  • goal Johan Bakayoko 52'
  • goal Luuk de Jong 71'
  • goal Patrick van Aanholt 83'
Eredivisie Gameweek 15
PSV
Dec 7, 2023 5.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Philips Stadion
Heerenveen
  • Guus Til 33' goal
  • Andre Ramalho 42' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Pepi 78' goal
  • Ricardo Pepi 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Patrik Walemark 90'
Eredivisie Gameweek 33
PSV
May 21, 2023 1.30pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT
Heerenveen
  • Ibrahim Sangare 14' goal
  • Luuk de Jong 79' goal
  • Xavi Simons 86' goal
  • goal Milan van Ewijk 33'
  • goal Antoine Colassin 45'+1'
  • goal Antoine Colassin 58'
Eredivisie Gameweek 9
Heerenveen
Oct 9, 2022 3.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
PSV
  • goal Cody Gakpo 75'
Eredivisie Gameweek 21
PSV
Feb 20, 2022 3.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Heerenveen
  • Noni Madueke 13' goal
  • Mario Gotze 46' goal
  • Joey Veerman 50' goal
  • goal Tibor Halilovic 36'

Form Data

PSV 1 - 7 Arsenal
Go Ahead Eagles 3 - 2 PSV
PSV 1 - 2 Go Ahead Eagles
PSV 3 - 1 Juventus
PSV 2 - 2 Utrecht
Juventus 2 - 1 PSV
Heerenveen 3 - 1 AZ
PEC Zwolle 1 - 1 Heerenveen
Heerenveen 3 - 3 FC Twente
Heerenveen 2 - 2 Sittard
Groningen 1 - 0 Heerenveen
Heerenveen 0 - 2 Ajax