/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fpollog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fporlog.png)
-
Sebastian Walukiewicz
45'+1'
-
Przemyslaw Frankowski
51'
-
Piotr Zielinski
78'
-
Krzysztof Piatek
88'
-
Lukasz Skorupski
88'
-
Bernardo Silva
26'
-
Pedro Neto
32'
-
Cristiano Ronaldo
37'
-
Jan Bednarek
88'
(OG)
Poland vs Portugal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F41%2Fcristiano-ronaldo.jpg)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F37%2Fdiogo-jota-cristiano-ronaldo.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F36%2Froberto-martinez-portugal.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 64.09%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Poland had a probability of 16.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Poland win it was 2-1 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.
Result
Poland
16.08%
▲
(+1.88)
Draw
19.83%
▲
(+1.12)
Portugal
64.09%
▼
(-2.99)
Both Teams to Score:
54.69%
▲
(+0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.95%
▼
(-1.26)
Under 2.5
40.05%
▲
(+1.26)
Over 3.5
37.58%
▼
(-1.32)
Under 3.5
62.41%
▲
(+1.32)
Over 4.5
20.23%
▼
(-1.04)
Under 4.5
79.76%
▲
(+1.03)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5
62.02%
▲
(+1.69)
Under 0.5
37.98%
▼
(-1.69)
Over 1.5
25.25%
▲
(+1.60)
Under 1.5
74.74%
▼
(-1.60)
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5
88.17%
▼
(-1.15)
Under 0.5
11.82%
▲
(+1.15)
Over 1.5
62.93%
▼
(-2.51)
Under 1.5
37.07%
▲
(+2.51)
Score analysis
Poland
16.08%
Draw
19.83%
Portugal
64.08%
Poland
2-1
@
4.49%
▲
(+0.45)
1-0 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.44)
2-0 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.30)
3-2 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.16)
3-1 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.21)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 16.08%
1-0 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.44)
2-0 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.30)
3-2 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.16)
3-1 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.21)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 16.08%
Draw
1-1
@
9.28%
▲
(+0.53)
2-2 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.27)
0-0 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.26)
3-3 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 19.83%
2-2 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.27)
0-0 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.26)
3-3 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 19.83%
Portugal
0-2
@
10.23%
▼
(-0.36)
1-2 @ 9.91% ▲ (+0.12)
0-1 @ 9.59% ▲ (+0.12)
0-3 @ 7.28% ▼ (-0.62)
1-3 @ 7.05% ▼ (-0.26)
0-4 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.54)
1-4 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.33)
2-3 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.04)
2-4 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.07)
0-5 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.32)
1-5 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.23)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 64.08%
1-2 @ 9.91% ▲ (+0.12)
0-1 @ 9.59% ▲ (+0.12)
0-3 @ 7.28% ▼ (-0.62)
1-3 @ 7.05% ▼ (-0.26)
0-4 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.54)
1-4 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.33)
2-3 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.04)
2-4 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.07)
0-5 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.32)
1-5 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.23)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 64.08%
