League Two
Gameweek
16
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-
Aaron Wildig
63'
-
Matthew Baker
71'
-
Kai Whitmore
78'
-
Cameron McJannett
58'
-
Kieran Green
65'
-
Curtis Thompson
78'
-
Harvey Rodgers
90'+1'
Newport County vs Grimsby Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result
Newport County
32.85%
▲
(+0.16)
Draw
25.23%
▲
(+0.07)
Grimsby Town
41.93%
▼
(-0.23)
Both Teams to Score:
56.19%
▼
(-0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.65%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 2.5
47.35%
▲
(+0.23)
Over 3.5
30.43%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 3.5
69.57%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 4.5
14.97%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 4.5
85.03%
▲
(+0.15)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5
72.51%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
27.48%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
37.02%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
62.98%
▲
(+0.01)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5
77.49%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 0.5
22.5%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 1.5
43.93%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 1.5
56.07%
▲
(+0.31)
Score analysis
Newport County
32.85%
Draw
25.22%
Grimsby Town
41.93%
Newport County
1-0
@
7.99%
▲
(+0.08)
2-1 @ 7.69% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 32.85%
2-1 @ 7.69% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 32.85%
Draw
1-1
@
11.91%
▲
(+0.05)
0-0 @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.74% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.22%
0-0 @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.74% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.22%
Grimsby Town
0-1
@
9.23%
▲
(+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.89% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 6.88% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 3.42% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 41.93%
1-2 @ 8.89% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 6.88% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 3.42% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 41.93%
Head to Head
League Two
Gameweek
43
-
Danny Rose
33'
-
Kieran Green
36'
-
Curtis Thompson
80'
-
Harry Charsley
36'
-
Luke Jephcott
54'
League Two
Gameweek
22
-
Omar Bogle
72'
-
Omar Bogle
90'+4'
-
Danny Rose
78'
League Two
Gameweek
29
-
John McAtee
36'
-
Priestley Farquharson
55'
League Two
Gameweek
7
-
Scot Bennett
22'
-
Will Evans
90'+2'
-
Bryn Morris
63'
-
Brendan Kiernan
80'
-
Harry Clifton
83'
-
Andy Smith
88'
League Two
Gameweek
28
-
Scott Bennett
37'
-
Nicky Maynard
51'
-
Jay Matete
81'
League Two
Gameweek
12
-
Luke Hendrie
24'
-
Terry Taylor
52'
-
Luke Waterfall
66'
-
Scott Twine
25'
-
Padraig Amond
45'+1'
-
Robbie Willmott
50'