Australian A-League | Gameweek 12

Jan 4, 2025 at 6am UK

McDonald Jones Stadium

Newcastle Jets
2 - 2
Sydney FC

Gurd (45' og., 45' og.), Taylor (72', 72')
Wilmering (31'), Wilmering (31'), Cancar (59'), Cancar (59')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Lolley (78', 78'), Caceres (89', 89')
Matthews (64'), Matthews (64'), Caceres (69'), Caceres (69'), De Jesus (90+4'), De Jesus (90+4')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Sydney FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Wellington 2-1 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, December 28 at 4am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Sydney FC

All competitions

Last Game: Sydney FC 3-0 Victory
Saturday, December 28 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 55.32%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 24.09% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.79%) and 1-3 (6.73%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle Jets	Draw	Sydney FC
24.09% ( -0.15)	20.59% ( -0)	55.32% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 66.12% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.56% (

-0.16)

31.44% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.09% (

-0.19)

52.91% (

0.19)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.76% (

-0.2)

25.24% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.01% (

-0.27)

59.99% (

0.28)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.45% (

-0.01)

11.55% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.51% (

-0.02)

36.49% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Newcastle Jets 24.09%

Sydney FC 55.33%

Draw 20.59%

Newcastle Jets	Draw	Sydney FC
2-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 24.09%	1-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.45% Total : 20.59%	1-2 @ 9.35% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 6.73% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 4.89% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 4.63% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 3.63% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 2.5% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.57% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 55.33%